You have to understand that these "epidemiologists" are unelected, unvetted, bureaucrats who do nothing but sit around imagining worst case scenarios all day.
They are neither virologists, statisticians, data analysts, nor professional computer programmers. Their whole job is to imagine terrifying sci/fi movie scenarios to justify continued funding for their departments so their political appointee bosses can keep getting their exorbitant salaries with taxpayer dollars.
Epidemiology is to virology what climate science is to meteorology. No real world scenario has EVER matched their predictions. This whole fiasco is the first time most people have ever witnessed the long-standing failures of epidemiology as a discipline, but that does not mean that it's anything new.
these people's job is to digest highly complicated information and present that information to the american public.
if the 95% confidence extends from the tens of thousands to the tens of millions and this simplified graph is what they present, they are failing at their job to inform the public in a way the public can understand.
I dont think the problem is people understanding it, i think they would understand a 5% confidence interval, but when you show a graph like those, it basically says “we dont know”.
But i do agree that people of below average intelligence probably don’t understand any of this. Hence the hysteria.
You have to understand that these "epidemiologists" are unelected, unvetted, bureaucrats who do nothing but sit around imagining worst case scenarios all day.
They are neither virologists, statisticians, data analysts, nor professional computer programmers. Their whole job is to imagine terrifying sci/fi movie scenarios to justify continued funding for their departments so their political appointee bosses can keep getting their exorbitant salaries with taxpayer dollars.
Epidemiology is to virology what climate science is to meteorology. No real world scenario has EVER matched their predictions. This whole fiasco is the first time most people have ever witnessed the long-standing failures of epidemiology as a discipline, but that does not mean that it's anything new.
NPR the other day had a University Chemistry professor on panning Hydroxychloroquine. A Chemist! Really?
https://chemistry.umbc.edu/faculty/katherine-seley-radtke/
https://www.npr.org/2020/04/08/829575826/hydroxychloroquine-is-being-studied-as-a-way-to-treat-coronavirus
The news that the new French Study showing no one under 75 (out of 973 patients) has died using HCQ should be all over the headlines, but crickets....
https://www.sortiraparis.com/news/in-paris/articles/213842-coronavirus-macron-meets-with-raoult-scientist-latest-study-results/lang/en
There's this weird attitude in collectivist circles that all PhDs are interchangeable.
Unless it's a PhD that disagrees with the narrative, then they're a heretic and we're better off listening to a 16 year old middle school drop out.
Wonder what part turns out to be patients that were treated with HCQ and not being tracked? I'm sure the socialist media will never let us know.
I bet if we dig deep enough, we will find that the VAST majority of models came in on or about what we are seeing.
We'll find out from leaked emails that they intentionally ran with the worst-case-scenario models
I think they used Common Core math.
Hey Sea. Love ya some r / POLITIC!! Great Warzone. Glad you are here.
LOL! Yeah I'm having fun over there. It's good to be here too
these people's job is to digest highly complicated information and present that information to the american public.
if the 95% confidence extends from the tens of thousands to the tens of millions and this simplified graph is what they present, they are failing at their job to inform the public in a way the public can understand.
I dont think the problem is people understanding it, i think they would understand a 5% confidence interval, but when you show a graph like those, it basically says “we dont know”.
But i do agree that people of below average intelligence probably don’t understand any of this. Hence the hysteria.