They take down all the old projection and put up new ones all the time. They've been doing this for months now. Where do you think the 500k estimated deaths came from months ago? Then Birx saying we'd see 200k deaths "if we do everything right"? It's all the awful IHME model, and it's been off by massive amounts each time.
I only gathered the information from the website after Birx/Trump first mentioned the 100-200K number around 4/1. The model has been accurate since Trump/Birx/Fauci touted it. If you have evidence of its inaccuracy before 4/1, please present the data. The hospitalization model was completely wrong. That does not mean the death model was the same (as evidenced by the actual results).
" There were no numbers from 1 month ago."
They take down all the old projection and put up new ones all the time. They've been doing this for months now. Where do you think the 500k estimated deaths came from months ago? Then Birx saying we'd see 200k deaths "if we do everything right"? It's all the awful IHME model, and it's been off by massive amounts each time.
Some reading on how terrible the model has been:
I only gathered the information from the website after Birx/Trump first mentioned the 100-200K number around 4/1. The model has been accurate since Trump/Birx/Fauci touted it. If you have evidence of its inaccuracy before 4/1, please present the data. The hospitalization model was completely wrong. That does not mean the death model was the same (as evidenced by the actual results).
https://thedonald.win/p/FMOGYD8U/chinesevirus-models-are-shit-thi/c/HY2hAwg1