How do you know any of this unless you believe what the Chinese have told you? For some reason you just believe 3 months is the number because it supports your point. You talk about critical mass in 3 months. How do you know. Critical mass so far seems to be April which would make it 4 months so there goes your 3 month lineup theory. You don't actually know what China did or when
"Patient zero" was blocks from my house. You think he was really the first? I was sick with a mild flu before he was known to anybody back in December. Doesn't mean it was WuFlu but it has as much evidence as your theory, that is to say none. Anything based on what you heard from China must be discounted.
You can literally see the 3 month spread right there. You can even see China lying and fudging their numbers. Obviously China is fucking lying, but China can only hide what happens in CHINA. Not outside. Outside of China we see these graphs. So retroactively China's bullshit lies are not complete lies. Somewhere in November this started spreading.
Do I believe patient zero on 17 November in China is actually patient Zero? Of course not. They are trying to hide the fact it came from the biolab. A random shrimp seller is patient zero? Fuck you China. But whether patient zero got out in October or not is irrelevant to how the cases spread.
We see a lag time of slowly increasing cases every 2-4 weeks doubling and then shooting off exponentially. An estimated R0 of 1.5-2.5. Good news is new cases are DOWN! Deaths are DOWN! End of this week multiple states can reopen. Week after that everything but NYC can reopen. NYC can stay closed till end of May.
You are showing me a graph of confirmed cases, nothing more. That is wholly dependent upon testing rates and volumes.
I was talking about the so-callled patient zero in the US last January. There could be no confirmed cases until after that. Doesn't mean it wasn't already here and rampant. In fact your assumed incubation time is very off. It is not 2 to 4 weeks as we now know according to the CDC. We could easily have been infected within 5 days of someone from China coming here as they do in large number.
I'm sorry that I can't show you a graph of non-confirmed cases. Want a graph of unicorn sightings next?
Viruses spread. If there were cases earlier we would have seen the spread we see in March EARLIER. That sharp spike in confirmed cases would be in February is first exposure had happened in December.
We were testing way back in January everyone who came into the country. We sadly missed patient zero in Washington, California and NYC by a week. From there we can see the virus spread out. Multiply in cases and then we just shoot off once the viral threshold has been reached.
It is not 2 to 4 weeks as we now know according to the CDC
You are infectious during the whole incubation period. The end of the incubation period is when you NOTICE you are sick. The is why you see the first case at the end of January. Then it double. And again. And again. And again. As more people pass the 2-4 weeks required for incubation and seek help. Meanwhile they have spread it around.
And now again we see cases DROP! 2-4 weeks after we started the lockdowns. In short everyone who caught the virus and was incubating it for 2-4 weeks stayed home until they got sick and got tested.
I'm not asking you for unconfirmed cases. No I just need you to stick with facts instead of coming up with your own so that your theory works out. Also would be nice if you weren't a condescending prick too. You don't see any spread, you see the advent of testing.
We were testing way back in January everyone who came into the country.
Also not a fact.
As more people pass the 2-4 weeks required
Also not a fact. Stop saying it just because it fits your theory. Two weeks is the max and it's usually 2-5 days.
How do you know any of this unless you believe what the Chinese have told you? For some reason you just believe 3 months is the number because it supports your point. You talk about critical mass in 3 months. How do you know. Critical mass so far seems to be April which would make it 4 months so there goes your 3 month lineup theory. You don't actually know what China did or when
"Patient zero" was blocks from my house. You think he was really the first? I was sick with a mild flu before he was known to anybody back in December. Doesn't mean it was WuFlu but it has as much evidence as your theory, that is to say none. Anything based on what you heard from China must be discounted.
Here is a graph tool.
You can literally see the 3 month spread right there. You can even see China lying and fudging their numbers. Obviously China is fucking lying, but China can only hide what happens in CHINA. Not outside. Outside of China we see these graphs. So retroactively China's bullshit lies are not complete lies. Somewhere in November this started spreading.
Do I believe patient zero on 17 November in China is actually patient Zero? Of course not. They are trying to hide the fact it came from the biolab. A random shrimp seller is patient zero? Fuck you China. But whether patient zero got out in October or not is irrelevant to how the cases spread.
We see a lag time of slowly increasing cases every 2-4 weeks doubling and then shooting off exponentially. An estimated R0 of 1.5-2.5. Good news is new cases are DOWN! Deaths are DOWN! End of this week multiple states can reopen. Week after that everything but NYC can reopen. NYC can stay closed till end of May.
You are showing me a graph of confirmed cases, nothing more. That is wholly dependent upon testing rates and volumes.
I was talking about the so-callled patient zero in the US last January. There could be no confirmed cases until after that. Doesn't mean it wasn't already here and rampant. In fact your assumed incubation time is very off. It is not 2 to 4 weeks as we now know according to the CDC. We could easily have been infected within 5 days of someone from China coming here as they do in large number.
I'm sorry that I can't show you a graph of non-confirmed cases. Want a graph of unicorn sightings next?
Viruses spread. If there were cases earlier we would have seen the spread we see in March EARLIER. That sharp spike in confirmed cases would be in February is first exposure had happened in December.
We were testing way back in January everyone who came into the country. We sadly missed patient zero in Washington, California and NYC by a week. From there we can see the virus spread out. Multiply in cases and then we just shoot off once the viral threshold has been reached.
You are infectious during the whole incubation period. The end of the incubation period is when you NOTICE you are sick. The is why you see the first case at the end of January. Then it double. And again. And again. And again. As more people pass the 2-4 weeks required for incubation and seek help. Meanwhile they have spread it around.
And now again we see cases DROP! 2-4 weeks after we started the lockdowns. In short everyone who caught the virus and was incubating it for 2-4 weeks stayed home until they got sick and got tested.
I'm not asking you for unconfirmed cases. No I just need you to stick with facts instead of coming up with your own so that your theory works out. Also would be nice if you weren't a condescending prick too. You don't see any spread, you see the advent of testing.
Also not a fact.
Also not a fact. Stop saying it just because it fits your theory. Two weeks is the max and it's usually 2-5 days.