He hasn’t won shit yet and you’ll be eating your words when he’s replaced. He promised cabinet positions to Pete boot edge edge and Amy klobuchar to drop out and endorse him which is illegal. Blexit has actually began it’s not bullshit anymore be careful
This poll samples 35% Democrats, 36% Independents and 28% Republicans overall. Their methodology is fairly sketchy in that they don't even use a standard margin of error, but a confidence level instead. It's an invitation only group of panelists that they surveyed online.
Also there are many other factors to look at. When they asked people to choose between Trump and Biden about 30% said they wouldn't vote at all. These aren't Trump supporters not voting.
On top of that, it's one poll so you should never worry too much about any outliers and focus insteas on trends when it comes to things like this. Plus we've got six months until the election and literally anything can happen.
I'm not losing sleep over it at all, but will keep an eye out as I always do on trends in the polls.
A real poll would ask who participants supported in 2016 and who they will vote for now.
You would find that everyone who supported Trump in 2016 will vote for him now, and some few Hillary voters support Trump now.
Nobody who voted for Trump when he was a risky candidate with no track record in politics is going to vote against him for keeping his promises and governing well.
This poll is hogwash. Trump will crush dementia Joe.
Well, fuck, i guess i'll stop supporting freedom, then. Good luck without me, guys. I'd suggest you pack it in now so you have ample time to throw your support behind biden before he wins in a blowout and you all look like IDIOTS!
The American people have to be fucking idiots if they want to put a senile buffoon in office to run this country..You think America has problems now during this crisis..imagine what would unfold if you put that idiot in office..
It's real and we should act like it is real. There isn't a single poll that shows Trump winning the general election. Not Rasmussen, not OANN, not even Trump's internal polls (we can conclude if their internal polls were showing something different they would release it)
So why if I try to put $5 on the election I’ll win $4 if trump wins and $6 if Biden wins. In my time of sports betting I’ve found Vegas is wayyyyyyyy more accurate than ESPN cause ESPN never has to put their money where their mouth is
As commented below the % party split is drastically off and no MoE used, plus only online self selected- massive red flags. That alone would have me toss this in the trash regardless of results- and any viable honest polling company or media requesting the poll would do the same.
Additionally 125 of 857 are up front about not likely voters and should have been broken out or removed from the voting question results. Not doing so badly taints the percentages.
Next we have a very unusual weighting heavily to South region- last time I saw this done was the last Clinton survey they gave public access to the raw data- July 2016- and they then claimed she had 84% of the vote nationwide. It was dragged hard, and they stopped providing data to analyze post.
Finally, they not only gave a whopping 29% weighting to 18-34, they list 15% for 35-44... then ALSO deceptively combine the next two 10 year groups into one with a measly 33% for all; this wildly skews away from known reliable voters and towards those far less likely even when they claim they will vote.
Anyone at all that believes, shares, links, or references this poll is either a fool or trying to feed a false narrative.
And PP may well go the way of 538 in rep and contracts for work if they persist in such dreck being released as valid polling.
Considering Biden has Alzheimer’s.
Okay? He beat out like 15 dem candidates and won the primary much more decisively than Hillary did and Hillary was only going against one candidate.
He hasn’t won shit yet and you’ll be eating your words when he’s replaced. He promised cabinet positions to Pete boot edge edge and Amy klobuchar to drop out and endorse him which is illegal. Blexit has actually began it’s not bullshit anymore be careful
This poll samples 35% Democrats, 36% Independents and 28% Republicans overall. Their methodology is fairly sketchy in that they don't even use a standard margin of error, but a confidence level instead. It's an invitation only group of panelists that they surveyed online.
Also there are many other factors to look at. When they asked people to choose between Trump and Biden about 30% said they wouldn't vote at all. These aren't Trump supporters not voting.
On top of that, it's one poll so you should never worry too much about any outliers and focus insteas on trends when it comes to things like this. Plus we've got six months until the election and literally anything can happen.
I'm not losing sleep over it at all, but will keep an eye out as I always do on trends in the polls.
A real poll would ask who participants supported in 2016 and who they will vote for now.
You would find that everyone who supported Trump in 2016 will vote for him now, and some few Hillary voters support Trump now.
Nobody who voted for Trump when he was a risky candidate with no track record in politics is going to vote against him for keeping his promises and governing well.
This poll is hogwash. Trump will crush dementia Joe.
They’re also taking into account the fact that Mickey Mouse is going to vote 68 times for joe in Florida
Hillary was up by 15. Biden can't read a sentence during a live appearance on CNN. If Trump loses to Biden he deserves too.
"Republican"
Just like hillary
Well, fuck, i guess i'll stop supporting freedom, then. Good luck without me, guys. I'd suggest you pack it in now so you have ample time to throw your support behind biden before he wins in a blowout and you all look like IDIOTS!
The American people have to be fucking idiots if they want to put a senile buffoon in office to run this country..You think America has problems now during this crisis..imagine what would unfold if you put that idiot in office..
It's real and we should act like it is real. There isn't a single poll that shows Trump winning the general election. Not Rasmussen, not OANN, not even Trump's internal polls (we can conclude if their internal polls were showing something different they would release it)
Nov. 2016.
Clearly the polls are right this time! Only poll i need is rally size
Scoreboard....
Who’s your daddy
So why if I try to put $5 on the election I’ll win $4 if trump wins and $6 if Biden wins. In my time of sports betting I’ve found Vegas is wayyyyyyyy more accurate than ESPN cause ESPN never has to put their money where their mouth is
Fake news Fake polls
As commented below the % party split is drastically off and no MoE used, plus only online self selected- massive red flags. That alone would have me toss this in the trash regardless of results- and any viable honest polling company or media requesting the poll would do the same.
Additionally 125 of 857 are up front about not likely voters and should have been broken out or removed from the voting question results. Not doing so badly taints the percentages.
Next we have a very unusual weighting heavily to South region- last time I saw this done was the last Clinton survey they gave public access to the raw data- July 2016- and they then claimed she had 84% of the vote nationwide. It was dragged hard, and they stopped providing data to analyze post.
Finally, they not only gave a whopping 29% weighting to 18-34, they list 15% for 35-44... then ALSO deceptively combine the next two 10 year groups into one with a measly 33% for all; this wildly skews away from known reliable voters and towards those far less likely even when they claim they will vote.
Anyone at all that believes, shares, links, or references this poll is either a fool or trying to feed a false narrative.
And PP may well go the way of 538 in rep and contracts for work if they persist in such dreck being released as valid polling.