Pretty close to the number I came up with if you're looking at total dead vs total population, but that's a largely irrelevant metric. Two different directions give you something more meaningful:
total US deaths in a similar time period, but years apart. Last I knew our total deaths were down by more than total deaths due to CCPvirus. So we should use the left's talking point that "all deaths are Trump's fault," and then accurately state that (by that logic) he's creating more than 20,000 new lives.
This is a sketchy metric right now for a couple reasons: nobody's doing anything and lots more will die, at least from health issues that are NOT CCPvirus because they've been turned away or are deliberately not getting medical care out of fear of catching de plague. We're also going to see a second wave no mattter what we do, and Trump pills would prevent that from turning into a lot more dead. Or hospitalized. Or needing a ventilator.
So all the numbers we have would be not very indicative of what's really going on, even if we were being told the truth. But we know we're being lied to.
Another metric that's more meaningful than dead vs total population is dead vs how many have been exposed to CCPvirus. We don't have that info. We don't have any idea how many caught it. In some small regions you've seen antibody testing show there are somewhere between 30 and 80 x more infected people than previously thought. From MN west to the east side of the coastal mountains on the left coast those numbers probably have no bearing. (And this is probably also true of at least the rural half of WI and IL that still has 10 or fewer cases per County)
All we have is total "confirmed cases," and comparing that to total dead. This is our most meaningful metric. We know this virus is highly contagious, so being able to estimate how many will die per how many catch it is significant. That number (IFR) was 6% for the US last night, using the numbers provided by worldometers.info. SD has .5%. You'd think Governors would be looking at that stark difference and wanting to duplicate whatever SD is doing differently.
Pretty close to the number I came up with if you're looking at total dead vs total population, but that's a largely irrelevant metric. Two different directions give you something more meaningful:
This is a sketchy metric right now for a couple reasons: nobody's doing anything and lots more will die, at least from health issues that are NOT CCPvirus because they've been turned away or are deliberately not getting medical care out of fear of catching de plague. We're also going to see a second wave no mattter what we do, and Trump pills would prevent that from turning into a lot more dead. Or hospitalized. Or needing a ventilator.
So all the numbers we have would be not very indicative of what's really going on, even if we were being told the truth. But we know we're being lied to.
All we have is total "confirmed cases," and comparing that to total dead. This is our most meaningful metric. We know this virus is highly contagious, so being able to estimate how many will die per how many catch it is significant. That number (IFR) was 6% for the US last night, using the numbers provided by worldometers.info. SD has .5%. You'd think Governors would be looking at that stark difference and wanting to duplicate whatever SD is doing differently.
Very interesting! I appreciate this insight. Thank you!