They claim to being using data, but they certainly aren't using it correctly. My state is looking at new cases over time to see how we should open. They are looking at the new cases and saying that there is an upward trend. Well if two weeks ago, when testing wasn't as robust, you test 500 people in a day and 30 came back negative, that is a downward trend compared to today when you test 2000 people and 80 come back positive. They are only looking at the numerator, and these values are not in like terms. Anyone with the slightest clue about how you look at data would know this. It is set up to fail.
Downward trajectory of documented cases within a 14-day period OR Downward trajectory of positive tests as a percent of total tests within a 14-day period (flat or increasing volume of tests)
Whether your state is using the alternative measure is an issue to take up with them.
They claim to being using data, but they certainly aren't using it correctly. My state is looking at new cases over time to see how we should open. They are looking at the new cases and saying that there is an upward trend. Well if two weeks ago, when testing wasn't as robust, you test 500 people in a day and 30 came back negative, that is a downward trend compared to today when you test 2000 people and 80 come back positive. They are only looking at the numerator, and these values are not in like terms. Anyone with the slightest clue about how you look at data would know this. It is set up to fail.
An alternate criteria is the percentage of POSITIVE tests, as long as the number of tests are stable or increasing:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/openingamerica/#criteria
Whether your state is using the alternative measure is an issue to take up with them.