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nufosmatic [S] 2 points ago +2 / -0

This is actually from the SEIR model page on Wikipedia:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compartmental_models_in_epidemiology#The_SEIR_model

Spatial SIR model simulation. Each cell can infect its eight immediate neighbors.

But, I think the model is valid for TheDonald.win, aside from being kuel...

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deleted 1 point ago +1 / -0
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inquimouse 1 point ago +1 / -0

The game is more realistic to real virus spread because not all neighbors can be infected immediately--more like super simple Go, some pockets escape.

edit: Woo hoo! Here's the math for the real life situation which the game mimics: https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/05/11/why-herd-immunity-to-covid-19-is-reached-much-earlier-than-thought/ mentioned in a post by u/nufosmatic

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nufosmatic [S] 2 points ago +2 / -0

Which is ME...

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inquimouse 1 point ago +1 / -0

I went out and cut the lawn as self-flagellation.

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inquimouse 1 point ago +1 / -0

This looks like a really old computer game called "color virus." The player chooses which neighboring color to attack and has limited moves to fill the board.

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nufosmatic [S] 2 points ago +2 / -0

This is the basic concept for these epidemiological models - it takes a PhD to screw it like like Ferguson did.

I'm trying to find the code for this one... I've got an idea...

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nufosmatic [S] 2 points ago +2 / -0

In case you're into this sort of thing (Binghamton, NY, home of the Singer Simulator, that trained the many, many pilots needed for WW2).

http://cbafaculty.org/5_SA/Complex%20Systems/Modeling%20Complex%20Systems.pdf

See section 11.5 Examples of Biological Cellular Automata Models

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nufosmatic [S] 2 points ago +2 / -0

One of my favorite YT channels: 3 Blue 1 Brown

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gxAaO2rsdIs

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inquimouse 1 point ago +1 / -0

This is wonderful and one of the best instructional videos I've seen. I hope a lot of people can follow it through to the end. it addresses a lot of things that I think need to be understood to get out of the hair on fire mode, like why do testing, and what kinds of "distancing" including quarantine work...or don't. My own feeling is that the best end result would be to have provided the best care by keeping the healthcare system underwhelmed AND minimize the final number of susceptibles. That means more sick people, but as long as they are susceptible, it's a cloud hanging over, and we can see how that turns into a control issue. :) Also liked his comment about YouTube and demonetizing people.

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nufosmatic [S] 2 points ago +2 / -0

I missed the comment on demonetization. Do you have a timestamp? He's got 2.2M subscribers, and really good math, the kinda stuff Alphabet people should be good at, and he's worried about demonetization (and/or demonization)?

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nufosmatic [S] 2 points ago +2 / -0

The joy of circular searching - this was the link I started with, which lead me to the Wikipedia page for SEIR, which has the link to the animated GIF...

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inquimouse 1 point ago +1 / -0

Sorry! I realized that after I posted. I was still thinking about the game. However, success in the game relates to the type of polygon in the map (geography ond homogeneity) as there can be many tilings. The more irregular, the harder to wipe out the board. The game has been around since DOS days, probably lots of code exists.