Neil Ferguson made the wuflu computer model that has this country shut down. The source code was just made public. The program he made produces non-deterministic outputs. That means entering the same data will get you different results each time you plug them in. IT WAS NEVER BASED ON SCIENCE. - The Donald

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Neil Ferguson made the wuflu computer model that has this country shut down. The source code was just made public. The program he made produces non-deterministic outputs. That means entering the same data will get you different results each time you plug them in. IT WAS NEVER BASED ON SCIENCE. (www.zerohedge.com)

posted 337 days ago by rooftoptendie 337 days ago by rooftoptendie +1335 / -0

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– HowardRoark 7 points 337 days ago +7 / -0

Yup, my experience with Monte Carlo simulations is in finance, specifically the Trinity Study. As I understand it, with these kinds of simulations, they say that xx% of the time it will yield a certain threshold result. For example, in the Trinity Study, it's safe to withdraw 4% of one's portfolio every year and there is a 95% chance the portfolio will survive one's entire retirement.

In the case of the IMHE model, it was framed as 100% chance and without any thresholds. That doesn't sound right to me.

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