The battleground states they polled (and the electoral votes):
Arizona, 11
Colorado, 9
Florida, 29
Georgia, 16
Maine, 4
Michigan, 16
Minnesota, 10
Nevada, 6
New Hampshire, 4
New Mexico, 5
North Carolina, 15
Ohio, 18
Pennsylvania, 20
Virginia, 13
Wisconsin, 10
I'd really like to see the cross-tabs for the states. But, they didn't publish them. I'm not sure it would have made a difference, because the number of people polled was small: a total of 1,112 adults, including 583 adults in the battleground states.
Margin of error: +/- 3.7% for the full sample, +/- 5.3% for the battleground states. This means that the difference between Trump and Biden is within the MoE, in both samples.
Party identification: Among the entire sample, 34% described themselves as Democrats, 26% described themselves as Republicans, and 40% described themselves as independents or members of another party. This is close to what Pew Research reported in 2017: 33% D, 26% R, 37% I.
Getting all that out of the way, these states in the above list voted for Hillary in 2016:
You missed another place he's crushing, in my heart.
Illegal immigrants and their American co-conspirators in California really hate Trump.
And it's a registered voter poll, which skews Democrat as well. So Trump's numbers are likely even better among likely voters.
The battleground states they polled (and the electoral votes):
I'd really like to see the cross-tabs for the states. But, they didn't publish them. I'm not sure it would have made a difference, because the number of people polled was small: a total of 1,112 adults, including 583 adults in the battleground states.
Margin of error: +/- 3.7% for the full sample, +/- 5.3% for the battleground states. This means that the difference between Trump and Biden is within the MoE, in both samples.
Party identification: Among the entire sample, 34% described themselves as Democrats, 26% described themselves as Republicans, and 40% described themselves as independents or members of another party. This is close to what Pew Research reported in 2017: 33% D, 26% R, 37% I.
Getting all that out of the way, these states in the above list voted for Hillary in 2016: