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BoughtByBloomberg 10 points ago +12 / -2

No it depends on the R0 of a virus. You can calculate it using a formula. Corona virus was at a R0 of 2 to 2.5 before the social distancing. If we used a 100% effective vaccine with half of the people immunized it wouldn't be possible for it to spread anymore because every other person you run into is immune.

So the target coverage for Wu Flu immunity is 50% of the population AT LEAST!

With measles you are dealing with an R0 of 12! That's why you need 90% coverage to stop measles. Because it is so virulent that you and the 12 people in the room will be infected instead of just the 1-2 other people with Wu Flu.

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deleted 2 points ago +3 / -1
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BoughtByBloomberg 3 points ago +3 / -0

The estimated. Remember the R0 of flu is below 2. Corona is basically flu on steroids, so an R0 of 2-3 isn't abnormal or out of expectations.

It is largely based on the method transmission which is why measles has R12 because it's actually airborne, as in it doesn't ride the droplets in your breath, but dust particles in the air. That can travel over 50 feet!

So R0 of 2 where on average 1 person gets 2 other people sick seems about right for Corona. R10 would be near measles where it's fully airborne and just sweeping through the population.

I actually advocated an alternate solution which is like Chicken pox parties. Where we'd get everyone under the age of 40 with no health conditions. Infect em all with their consent and then we just prescribe medication from the start to reduce mortality. We'd have herd immunity by the end of the month.

Of course this involves voluntarily getting people sick and there would be deaths (<1%). But we'd literally beat the virus into submission at a lower cost than currently with Cuomo shipping corona patients into nursing homes.

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deleted 0 points ago +1 / -1