If you're correct about black support (as you described in your other comment), then no red state is in danger of flipping. In fact several blue states might be in danger of flipping.
True. I try to be cautious as well, but I saw a lot of under the radar polling in PA/MI/WI/MN in 2016 that made me smile. Wasn't even remotely worried about OH/IA/NC/FL.
If you're correct about black support (as you described in your other comment), then no red state is in danger of flipping. In fact several blue states might be in danger of flipping.
It's a possibility. I try to shy away from "homer" predictions of surprising red flips, but we saw some happen in 2016.
True. I try to be cautious as well, but I saw a lot of under the radar polling in PA/MI/WI/MN in 2016 that made me smile. Wasn't even remotely worried about OH/IA/NC/FL.
Dems have lost too much black support to win the election without blatant theft.
Meaning, they can still win.