I think you're right. I know it's just a personal anecdote, but my stepfather has stage IV TDS. He listens to CNN, has a "proud democrat" bumper sticker, and even he is considering voting republican this year. He is absolutely ashamed of his own party. I think if he of all people is coming around on this, just about anybody paying attention will.

I think the surge in 2A support alone as a result of all this will lead to a red wave. There is also the obvious point that virtually every single city seeing these riots are run by the democrats. Trump said in his rally that he is planning on just letting groups like CHAZ go about their business and destroy themselves, pointing a spotlight at them rather than a gun. All republicans have to say is "this is what our opposition looks like."