I dropped a redpill in a class I was in today. Topic discussed was an "astonishing" 159,000 positive cases in my state and 2000 deaths. "Wow, that 0.01% mortality rate is staggering huh?" Hopefully I ignited a few synapses to fire in their tiny brains.
I'd heard that the lag in deaths (assuming equal mortality rate) was closer to 3-5 days, maybe up to 10 or so if you accounted for test delays, which should have been normalized out. Remember that even getting the test usually involves being sick for a few days, which might account for that difference.
This round, it sounds like the 20-30 somes are all getting it, meaning the deaths will likely not follow the same curve.
It's good to bring up number of tests https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states
I dropped a redpill in a class I was in today. Topic discussed was an "astonishing" 159,000 positive cases in my state and 2000 deaths. "Wow, that 0.01% mortality rate is staggering huh?" Hopefully I ignited a few synapses to fire in their tiny brains.
Well math isnt my strong suit, i'll admit. I took 2000 deaths out of 159,000 cases divided gave me 0.01
Edit: nevermind, I see what I did. Its 1.5%, ooops
I think he probably meant the per capita death
still, 1/100 odds are pretty good as far as illness. Not worth shutting down life for it
I'd heard that the lag in deaths (assuming equal mortality rate) was closer to 3-5 days, maybe up to 10 or so if you accounted for test delays, which should have been normalized out. Remember that even getting the test usually involves being sick for a few days, which might account for that difference.
This round, it sounds like the 20-30 somes are all getting it, meaning the deaths will likely not follow the same curve.