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Reinholt 16 points ago +16 / -0

Also, all joking aside, as someone who works in finance: all of this is hand-waving as to causation in most cases, and it's extremely complicated. The president, in general, is less powerful with regard to domestic economics than most people believe, and some of our tailwind is structural.

The main things Trump is doing that influence this is picking a fight with China to get us out of the Prisoner's Dilemma situation we were in, and pushing up American wages (and possibly costs, but that is TBD), along with the R congress pushing through tax reform on corporate tax rates so US companies expand inside the US, not outside of it.

How much of that vs. natural growth is in the jobs reports? Who the fuck knows. But the point is don't over-assume and also always push on the margins where it helps, which is where I think Trump has performed best as president.