Helmut Norpoth, the professor who received much press in 2016 because he had predicted that Trump would win as an underdog, has correctly predicted the results of some great number of presidential elections. This year, he's predicting that Trump will win and is forecasting his possibility of victory at 91%.
The important thing to note here is that his model is based on primary turnout and the supposed enthusiasm denoted by such turnout. Trump is putting up incredible tallies in the primaries, in spite of the fact he's the unopposed, presumptive nominee of his party. Joe Biden's numbers are anemic. Professor Norpoth, as he always does, is basing his projection on these facts.
Knowing this, it makes perfect sense that a state like New Jersey, which is firmly in the pockets of the Democrat party, would have an interest in suppressing the primary tallies for Trump.
Helmut Norpoth, the professor who received much press in 2016 because he had predicted that Trump would win as an underdog, has correctly predicted the results of some great number of presidential elections. This year, he's predicting that Trump will win and is forecasting his possibility of victory at 91%.
The important thing to note here is that his model is based on primary turnout and the supposed enthusiasm denoted by such turnout. Trump is putting up incredible tallies in the primaries, in spite of the fact he's the unopposed, presumptive nominee of his party. Joe Biden's numbers are anemic. Professor Norpoth, as he always does, is basing his projection on these facts.
Knowing this, it makes perfect sense that a state like New Jersey, which is firmly in the pockets of the Democrat party, would have an interest in suppressing the primary tallies for Trump.