I hope the model is right, but we need to take no chances and we need to continue to work to win every vote. We have the opportunity to win a massive victory over the left.
Agreed.. we would be no better following this BS than Hillary's supporters were in 2016 if we were to become lazy. Our base was the one who made the momentum and movement; we can't bow down to cliches or slow down.
Vote for your life, because that's exactly what you're doing.
If Biden wins, gangs of domestic terrorists will have free reign to roam the streets, will have the total support of the President, DoJ, Congress and Senate. Meanwhile, they will punish you for attempts of self-defense (like the McCloskeys and the CAREN act) and remove any ways you have of defending yourself via gun bans. Not to mention making 12 million criminals into citizens and systematically destroying your history, culture and religion.
They want you broke and dead, your children brainwashed and raped and they think it's funny.
If the Dems regain power they will tax the middle class into oblivion under the guise of reparations. They couldn't get it done with carbon taxes, but between the virus and reparations they will put the final nail in the coffin of small businesses. Then they will finally achieve their goal of only elites and peasants.
l live in argentina where a left-wing liberal is president. He's taxing us to annihilation in the midst of a pandemic and in the midst of a lock-down that has seen countless middle-class business owners shut down for good due to having to pay for electricity, gas and water even though their business has been closed since mid March. Vote for Biden and you'll be Argentina.
FYI: Argentina will most likely go into hyperinflation by next year and we'll suffer a mass exodus of good people moving to europe or Uruguay. Vote for Trump as if a single one of you not voting would give the election to Biden by a landslide. Don't give them a single inch.
Argentina in 2021, in Barney Gumble's voice: - "Don't cry for me, l'm already dead"
Also, VOTE IN PERSON. If you can shop for groceries you can vote in person. Do not allow your vote to be tossed. If you're Democrat, it's easy to write in Yeezy.
Not just vote - try to politely, calmly, respectfully convince one or two others. There are people on the fence believe it or not. And there are people who actually DON'T spend all day paying attention to this stuff and hear a little bit of CNN and just don't know all the things Trump has actually done.
Trump has people sleeping on the sidewalk for a week just to see him talk for an hour
There is no bowing down to cliches, whatever that might mean, or slowing down. When the democrats roll out their next engineered anti-humanity disaster, so breathtaking in its horrific enormity that words will fail to describe its wretched treachery, we will double down, increase our numbers, and push back harder than ever.
We will need this resolve to defeat an ideology that made an arrestable offense out of attending church or smiling. That is designed to make every American citizen a criminal, unless they obey dangerous disease-enhancing, psychologically damaging, unconstitutional orders.
Funny remark (minus the "big deal" part, but only because ppl sleeping on the sidewalk for a week to see Trump speak actually is a legit big fucking deal—as Biden would say back when he could form sentences—it's a bigger deal than 0bamacare, since it's not unconstitutional :)
More than that, losing is not an option. If Biden gets in, we are opening the door to Communist ideals. Biden is the Great Wizard of Oz, but know that the man behind the curtain is Karl Marx.
This is not hyperbole. Never has our country been at greater risk to fall to socialism. All of these attacks since Trump has been elected have been calculated attempts to discredit him. The moves since the Covid lockdown have been their final plays on the board to force us into checkmate.
All is at risk. We can't lose. Everyone get out there and vote.
You do realize it's only a matter of time before the far left gets in, right? If Trump loses now, they're in, If Trump wins now then they're probably in after 4 years or sooner At most there's like 8 years most likely. By election fraud or storming into power or the pendulum just swings, they'll be in power again at some point. You realize that, right? What's in question is only when ecactly and how this shit ultimately goes down. The left does not sleep, they do not rest, they are a party, a movement with a vision. They've made it pretty clear what they want, regardless of who their candidate is.
No way, look at the demographic trends. Without ending illegal and legal immigration, repatriation and stripping of citizenship and voter ID laws the end is the same: leftist-corporate dystopian tyranny and civil war.
Unleashed capitalism, the border wall and deportations of illegals, can sway enough centrist voters. Leftists will become even more deranged, he has to let the commies destroy their cities even more. 4 more years to install conservative judges. This combined can do the trick for a while.
Conservatives long ago abandoned Higher Ed ceding monopoly control to Marxists. Generations indoctrinated.
However even "middle" survivors who never paid attention enough to mentally evaluate and critically process school propaganda, ARE seeing with-their-own-eyes the insanity of what's going on, which is finally waking people up aka Zombie Apocalypse, they realize the MSM is flat-out distortion aka They Live, which helps motivate a change to willing involvement.
Previous GOP leaders were awful - the Bush family legacy needs to be reversed, with razor awareness of how slimy their NWO corruption infested the Republican "conservatism" that was actively corroding the gift of liberty the Founders fought and sacrificed to provide us. DJT has inspired patriots in a way that never could have happened previously.
If it's a 40+ state blowout this election and it shatters the Democrats they'll eject the far left and reform to try to get voters in the middle. Worst case scenario, at least a Trump win stalls them.
Marx at least pretended to be science. This Revolutionary shit is Leninism. The guy who killed everyone with actual blood on his hand. Marx was just some theorist squatting in London because no one believed him.
I agree, but don't forget that Marx and Engels also wrote of revolution. Their plan was not a peaceful change. Then Lenin actually put it into practice. My point is that communism is inevitably authoritarian. It's impossible to reallocate resources without the threat of the gun. Marx knew this.
Exactly. No resting on our laurels. Donate, volunteer, attend rallies, red pill friends and relatives. We need to act like we’re trailing by 20 points.
We ALSO need to prepare for ANY eventuality. Imagine, if you will, the worst case scenario if Trump loses. We can't stick our heads into the sand then and even then, especially then, we have to keep working. So we need to stay organized no matter what happens
That's not the worst case scenario... The only thing I fear more than this outcome is Trump getting the JFKabe treatment.
While that would spark a reaction much faster than a loss, I honestly believe both would lead to 10s of millions actively (as opposed to passively, like up 'til now) distrusting the government followed by the quick development of a civil war as rights begin to be dismantled...
Just look at the riots & all the corrupt political moves aggressively trying to goad patriots & the rest of the middle/right into making one bad move so that they can pin everything on us for the fallout that would happen...
In fact, if he were not a billionaire capable of handling his own extra layer of security on top of the SS, I think the deep state would have gotten to him already, if not immediately after reelection.
I don't fear leftists and their BS, but this is the one legitimate fear of mine, and there is nothing I can do about it but hope & pray for his safety.
It is based on primaries, which is ultimately based on enthusiasm. Popularity contest. Neither candidate is doing great currently, but as long as Trump is out there holding rallies of any size, while Biden basically stays in the basement, that pretty much means Trump will win. It's all about enthusiasm.
The plandemic has put a big damper on campaign rallies in general, and all sorts of related activities. I think Trump is doing well consideringthe circumstances, but both are struggling compared to a "normal" year
I don't want to sound like a hater, because I'm just being realistic and clear eyed, but I don't believe the online attendance numbers, and even if I did, that's still very different from people showing up in person to campaign rallies. Will everyone who watches online vote in person? I think not = turnout risk and mail in ballot risk. Will everyone who goes to a rally in person vote in person? Pretty much, yeah. We need to be realistic here in order to win
Best hope is they pick a crazy person as VP, who everyone knows will actually be the shadow president when they put Biden out in his wheelchair in the Rose Garden to stay warm.
Meanwhile in Blue State New Jersey, the State didn't even bother counting President Trump's votes, because he's "uncontested".
Translation: Blue States don't want to show how popular President Trump really is, and is part of their voter-suppression techniques ......which just so happens to be the same voter suppression they accuse Republicans of. #Projection
Anybody who is still a capital-L libertarian after four years is going to vote for whichever candidate will hurt America the most, because they're spiteful little children.
This is definitely my concern also. They can afford to lose the presidency if they can hamstring President Trump by stealing the House, and or, God forbid, the Senate.
Imagine the nightmare/pain of being in the White House four more years with that kind of opposition.
VOTE. VOTE. VOTE. And Vote RED, for the very soul of our Country is at stake!
But it's back to 2016 situation. Trump won those House seat areas HUGE. In 2018 everyone was pissed off at RINOs that no one showed up. Everyone is going to show up for Trump in 2020.
That's what we have to hope for. Midterms allowed for a lot of fraud because it's harder to get people excited to vote for swamp rat senators and representatives. With the presidential ticket there will be a lot more scrutiny and media attention so it will be harder to flip 17(?) seats with magically found votes after polls close.
No worries, they've had 4 years to plan even bigger election fraud after the test run in 2018. No one was punished for all those seats that flipped after the polls closed and they found thousands of extra votes. Every single one flipped Dem, not a single one flipped Rep.
362!?!? That’s a YUGE landslide. Trump absolutely trounced Clinton in 2016 - I don’t care what anybody says - he picked up several big swing states that he didn’t even need to reach 270. (He could have lost Florida and still would have won.)
I’m very concerned that we’ll grow complacent and not show the dedication we did in 2016 though. I’d even argue the stakes are higher this cycle given how the House has been acting and the Dems open support of Antifa/BLM rioters. We MUST vote.
Also - not to be “that guy” - we need to address the big issue. Trump can’t do this alone. The man is a freaking machine, but we need to give the Dems as little power as possible. Try to cut their numbers down in the House and Senate (just imagine the nightmare if they continue to grow). I don’t like lame Republicans as much as the next dude but I’ll absolutely take a lazy Republican over an activist Democrat any day. Support your Republican congressmen, your local Republican legislators, and try and get as much Red across the board as possible!
God. Ultimately He puts leaders in positions of power. If it’s His will for Trump this next election, then Trump will win, despite the dirty tricks Dems will pull. Still vote though!
They're incompetent cheaters. Might be better cheaters this time, since they were blindsided last time and didn't take the cheating seriously enough since they thought they'd win anyway.
If Trump loses it will 100% be due to voter fraud and there will be a civil war. There is no way this country is voting this Marxist bullshit into office legally.
I have a feeling that as soon as this is over and President trump begins his second term the gloves are coming off and theres gonna be hell to pay ....!!!!
If they don't take action and start draining the Swamp before election day then there may be no second term. The other thing is that draining the Swamp is the biggest campaign promise Trump hasn't fulfilled yet and probably the most important one to some people so it needs to happen. Now. No one is going to say I can't believe we didn't drain the Swamp when Trump was in office if he's not reelected. They're going to be asking why four years was wasted and why they refused to arrest anyone despite all the evidence.
I agree with you on one point, "THEY" have done everything they possibly can do to derail and delay any sort of justice for US AND the President!!! Its fucking sickening, "THEY" actually attempted a "COUP" and yet all we seem to get is lip service. WTF!!!! I didnt wear the uniform and take an oath to defend this kind of shit! All thst shit aside, I still have faith in "most" of the ppl in the US to make the right decision. I believe the President will win and win BIG!!!
Keep pushing pedes! We trashed the special elections in CA and WI, we can make this a red wave. Dont let us lose House, Senate or SCOTUS, and we might truly be able to do everything!
Good prediction.. unless an incumbent's a naive weakling like Carter or very incompetent like Barry was they tend to have a solid repeat Also having a goof of an oponent helps too.. Nixon 72, FDR 36, Coolidge 24. If things go like they should, Trump attacks the Dems and campaigns hard, and if the GOP does what they need to do we could have a nice night indeed.
However we cannot afford to get lazy. All elections are local as the saying goes.. we gotta make sure the local communities and races stay on the GOP's side. That's what helped us in 2016 and stopped the blue wave from fully happening in 2018. My county for instance went full GOP for the first time ever in 2018. We gotta maintain the consistency while the Dems keep splintering.. if we do it deep enough we can have the local control for a good while.
We gotta stay open minded/hearted and keep on fighting.
So basically they missed on 2000, considering the shenanigans that happened in 1960. And if we’re being honest, the Broward County “butterfly ballots” are what saved us from an Al Gote Presidency, so that probably shouldn’t count as a miss either.
This "primary model" is actually quite clever and it makes total sense to me.
That said, I hate election models. They serve as tools to manipulate people. Don't get complacent, just vote. Even if you live in a california or a massachusetts, go vote and vote red down-ballot. Even though I live in massachusetts (an unwinnable state), I definitely feel like its possible to flip my house seat here.
I wouldn't take this as gospel. This model is only analyzing enthusiasm for the two candidates, and doesn't take into account enthusiasm against them. The media has done an absolute bang up job of getting people riled up against Trump. And it's not just fake news; I see an absolute tedious amount of Trump bashing from people in know in real life on social media, to an extent that was never there with GWB. The Dems could run an empty suit (not far from the actual situation) and half of the country would feverishly vote for it.
Fact is that Trump is toast if he doesn't make something happen. His campaign to date doesn't have the same definition that it had in '16. He also needs some big news to break his way, something the public is generally with the GOP on, like another Guatemalan migrant crisis or Muslim terrorist attack. If the election were held today, he would lose.
I love our president and definitely believe he can win again, but that seems like a very optimistic prediction in terms of the electoral vote total. I think Trump will retain the easy red states and most - if not all - of the swing states he won in 2016. He could also pick up a couple of new ones like New Hampshire and maybe Minnesota, but that likely wouldn't be enough to get to 362. Overall, it's much too early to reach any concrete conclusion from these types of models, although this particular one should certainly give us hope.
In my view, Trump's biggest competition at this point is not Biden (or whichever individual the DNC selects): It is voter/election fraud. We know the Democrats are going to cheat at unprecedented levels, the likes of which would make even third-world governments blush. It's their final play, and they will take advantage of every possible loophole. That can't be allowed to happen.
Aaaaand it still is only a model.
GEOTUS needs to stay strong and send powerful messages and cut a little bit back on some of his tweets. He needs to destroy Biden in the debates. The GOP members need to do their job and fight against voter fraud. His supporters need to red-pill everyone and show up on election day.
I hope the model is right, but we need to take no chances and we need to continue to work to win every vote. We have the opportunity to win a massive victory over the left.
Agreed.. we would be no better following this BS than Hillary's supporters were in 2016 if we were to become lazy. Our base was the one who made the momentum and movement; we can't bow down to cliches or slow down.
Vote for your life, because that's exactly what you're doing.
If Biden wins, gangs of domestic terrorists will have free reign to roam the streets, will have the total support of the President, DoJ, Congress and Senate. Meanwhile, they will punish you for attempts of self-defense (like the McCloskeys and the CAREN act) and remove any ways you have of defending yourself via gun bans. Not to mention making 12 million criminals into citizens and systematically destroying your history, culture and religion.
They want you broke and dead, your children brainwashed and raped and they think it's funny.
If the Dems regain power they will tax the middle class into oblivion under the guise of reparations. They couldn't get it done with carbon taxes, but between the virus and reparations they will put the final nail in the coffin of small businesses. Then they will finally achieve their goal of only elites and peasants.
l live in argentina where a left-wing liberal is president. He's taxing us to annihilation in the midst of a pandemic and in the midst of a lock-down that has seen countless middle-class business owners shut down for good due to having to pay for electricity, gas and water even though their business has been closed since mid March. Vote for Biden and you'll be Argentina. FYI: Argentina will most likely go into hyperinflation by next year and we'll suffer a mass exodus of good people moving to europe or Uruguay. Vote for Trump as if a single one of you not voting would give the election to Biden by a landslide. Don't give them a single inch. Argentina in 2021, in Barney Gumble's voice: - "Don't cry for me, l'm already dead"
Travel here pede, we will have you and keep you.
Don’t forget amend the constitution to stack the Supreme Court and lower the voting ago. They will do anything to acquire power.
Also, VOTE IN PERSON. If you can shop for groceries you can vote in person. Do not allow your vote to be tossed. If you're Democrat, it's easy to write in Yeezy.
Not just vote - try to politely, calmly, respectfully convince one or two others. There are people on the fence believe it or not. And there are people who actually DON'T spend all day paying attention to this stuff and hear a little bit of CNN and just don't know all the things Trump has actually done.
Trump has people sleeping on the sidewalk for a week just to see him talk for an hour
There is no bowing down to cliches, whatever that might mean, or slowing down. When the democrats roll out their next engineered anti-humanity disaster, so breathtaking in its horrific enormity that words will fail to describe its wretched treachery, we will double down, increase our numbers, and push back harder than ever.
We will need this resolve to defeat an ideology that made an arrestable offense out of attending church or smiling. That is designed to make every American citizen a criminal, unless they obey dangerous disease-enhancing, psychologically damaging, unconstitutional orders.
Big deal, Pelosi has had people shitting on the sidewalk for years!
Upvoted
Funny remark (minus the "big deal" part, but only because ppl sleeping on the sidewalk for a week to see Trump speak actually is a legit big fucking deal—as Biden would say back when he could form sentences—it's a bigger deal than 0bamacare, since it's not unconstitutional :)
WE ALL MUST VOTE. THIS YEAR AND EVERY YEAR. UNTIL THE END OF DAYS. WE ALL GOT COMPLACENT. WE WILL TAKE IT ALL BACK.
More than that, losing is not an option. If Biden gets in, we are opening the door to Communist ideals. Biden is the Great Wizard of Oz, but know that the man behind the curtain is Karl Marx.
This is not hyperbole. Never has our country been at greater risk to fall to socialism. All of these attacks since Trump has been elected have been calculated attempts to discredit him. The moves since the Covid lockdown have been their final plays on the board to force us into checkmate.
All is at risk. We can't lose. Everyone get out there and vote.
You do realize it's only a matter of time before the far left gets in, right? If Trump loses now, they're in, If Trump wins now then they're probably in after 4 years or sooner At most there's like 8 years most likely. By election fraud or storming into power or the pendulum just swings, they'll be in power again at some point. You realize that, right? What's in question is only when ecactly and how this shit ultimately goes down. The left does not sleep, they do not rest, they are a party, a movement with a vision. They've made it pretty clear what they want, regardless of who their candidate is.
Yes and no. The Trump effect can hold off the socialists for a generation. He is playing the long game.
No way, look at the demographic trends. Without ending illegal and legal immigration, repatriation and stripping of citizenship and voter ID laws the end is the same: leftist-corporate dystopian tyranny and civil war.
Unleashed capitalism, the border wall and deportations of illegals, can sway enough centrist voters. Leftists will become even more deranged, he has to let the commies destroy their cities even more. 4 more years to install conservative judges. This combined can do the trick for a while.
With the wall, Trump is ending illegal immigration, thanks to the H-1b (or whatever) visas, Trump is making moves to limit legal immigration
New younger pedes are being created. Had a HS kid throw a compliment at my Space Force shirt the other day.
Conservatives long ago abandoned Higher Ed ceding monopoly control to Marxists. Generations indoctrinated.
However even "middle" survivors who never paid attention enough to mentally evaluate and critically process school propaganda, ARE seeing with-their-own-eyes the insanity of what's going on, which is finally waking people up aka Zombie Apocalypse, they realize the MSM is flat-out distortion aka They Live, which helps motivate a change to willing involvement.
Previous GOP leaders were awful - the Bush family legacy needs to be reversed, with razor awareness of how slimy their NWO corruption infested the Republican "conservatism" that was actively corroding the gift of liberty the Founders fought and sacrificed to provide us. DJT has inspired patriots in a way that never could have happened previously.
How is he limiting legal immigration? Just curious. :)
Sure, there was the h1b visa thing that limited foreign workers
and this one https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/12/trump-administration-announces-latest-effort-to-limit-legal-immigration.html that limited citizenship for people who are likely to become 'public wards' when they come here.
If it's a 40+ state blowout this election and it shatters the Democrats they'll eject the far left and reform to try to get voters in the middle. Worst case scenario, at least a Trump win stalls them.
The left will get in again but at least have Republicans at all levels of government. Can't have people like AOC in there.
Marx at least pretended to be science. This Revolutionary shit is Leninism. The guy who killed everyone with actual blood on his hand. Marx was just some theorist squatting in London because no one believed him.
I agree, but don't forget that Marx and Engels also wrote of revolution. Their plan was not a peaceful change. Then Lenin actually put it into practice. My point is that communism is inevitably authoritarian. It's impossible to reallocate resources without the threat of the gun. Marx knew this.
Never take your foot off the gas.
Not when you're in your car trapped by a violent mob. Not when you're voting.
Exactly. No resting on our laurels. Donate, volunteer, attend rallies, red pill friends and relatives. We need to act like we’re trailing by 20 points.
We ALSO need to prepare for ANY eventuality. Imagine, if you will, the worst case scenario if Trump loses. We can't stick our heads into the sand then and even then, especially then, we have to keep working. So we need to stay organized no matter what happens
That's not the worst case scenario... The only thing I fear more than this outcome is Trump getting the JFKabe treatment.
While that would spark a reaction much faster than a loss, I honestly believe both would lead to 10s of millions actively (as opposed to passively, like up 'til now) distrusting the government followed by the quick development of a civil war as rights begin to be dismantled... Just look at the riots & all the corrupt political moves aggressively trying to goad patriots & the rest of the middle/right into making one bad move so that they can pin everything on us for the fallout that would happen...
In fact, if he were not a billionaire capable of handling his own extra layer of security on top of the SS, I think the deep state would have gotten to him already, if not immediately after reelection.
I don't fear leftists and their BS, but this is the one legitimate fear of mine, and there is nothing I can do about it but hope & pray for his safety.
Don't even talk about it. Just pray.
Trump has an extra layer of security? Do you have more info on this?
He does, that statement is 100% true
I just mean. Is there a source somewhere I can read more about it? :)
Hope it's right, America needs it more than ever!
It is based on primaries, which is ultimately based on enthusiasm. Popularity contest. Neither candidate is doing great currently, but as long as Trump is out there holding rallies of any size, while Biden basically stays in the basement, that pretty much means Trump will win. It's all about enthusiasm.
What do you mean? Trump is getting huge enthusiasm in the primaries
The plandemic has put a big damper on campaign rallies in general, and all sorts of related activities. I think Trump is doing well consideringthe circumstances, but both are struggling compared to a "normal" year
Yes, that's what he means
Trump is getting enthusiasm now which is why he leads
He said neither candidate is going great
I guess it depends on how much influence the MSM has on swing voters.
We hate it, the left believes it 100%, but what do the centrists think?
The left always cheats. That's what makes them the left. They never. ever, EVER go through the motions totally honest.
At last we meet
Trump is doing so well that NJ refuses to put out the numbers that show more people came out for him than Biden and Bernie combined.
I voted in the NJ primary and when the poll worker asked which party and I said Republican there was a very audible sigh.
This is the other problem. Most poll workers are liberals without jobs. They need to be watched. We must volunteer!
I agree with the prediction as long as it means a 50 state sweep.
Neither candidate is doing great? Trump had the highest online attendance to his rally ever. What are you talking about?
I don't want to sound like a hater, because I'm just being realistic and clear eyed, but I don't believe the online attendance numbers, and even if I did, that's still very different from people showing up in person to campaign rallies. Will everyone who watches online vote in person? I think not = turnout risk and mail in ballot risk. Will everyone who goes to a rally in person vote in person? Pretty much, yeah. We need to be realistic here in order to win
Also, how many of the online attendees were foreigners who also like Trump but can't vote here.
The Internet would be a much better place if we could reliably tell which jurisdiction posters came from.
Best hope is they pick a crazy person as VP, who everyone knows will actually be the shadow president when they put Biden out in his wheelchair in the Rose Garden to stay warm.
Spoiler: they're all crazy.
They're going to pick Heels-Up Harris as VP.
I hope!
Lol that’s such a terrible pick we shouldn’t say anything.
Don’t believe shit. Vote and take a friend. It’s the least you can do.
Put a Biden hat on the sink in California and you'll get an extra ballot.
I've been told to let that sink in for 4 years and now I have to let it out? This is too much to ask
Stupid af to believe any prediction of this years preezy election. The voter fraud will be historic.
VOTE
Meanwhile in Blue State New Jersey, the State didn't even bother counting President Trump's votes, because he's "uncontested".
Translation: Blue States don't want to show how popular President Trump really is, and is part of their voter-suppression techniques ......which just so happens to be the same voter suppression they accuse Republicans of. #Projection
“If you’re ahead by 14, act like you’re down by 3” don’t get complacent folks. This is the battle for America’s Soul.
If you are strong appear weak, if you are weak appear strong - Sun Tzu
No Malarkey
Logic: His base is stronger, his opponent is weaker, and libertarians will vote Trump after 4 years of liberal attacks. 320 electoral votes.
Anybody who is still a capital-L libertarian after four years is going to vote for whichever candidate will hurt America the most, because they're spiteful little children.
Or they won’t vote but will keep complaining
How is the House looking? Aren't there just six key races to win back the House? A lot of money pouring into Dem races.
This ^^
This is definitely my concern also. They can afford to lose the presidency if they can hamstring President Trump by stealing the House, and or, God forbid, the Senate.
Imagine the nightmare/pain of being in the White House four more years with that kind of opposition.
VOTE. VOTE. VOTE. And Vote RED, for the very soul of our Country is at stake!
But it's back to 2016 situation. Trump won those House seat areas HUGE. In 2018 everyone was pissed off at RINOs that no one showed up. Everyone is going to show up for Trump in 2020.
That's what we have to hope for. Midterms allowed for a lot of fraud because it's harder to get people excited to vote for swamp rat senators and representatives. With the presidential ticket there will be a lot more scrutiny and media attention so it will be harder to flip 17(?) seats with magically found votes after polls close.
Different liberal groups have at least 4 or 5 big tricks up their sleeve.
I think some of them are, but not completely.
But they are all loosely working towards the same goal, but maybe for different reasons.
These people seem borderline retarded, lets not give them too much credit.
No worries, they've had 4 years to plan even bigger election fraud after the test run in 2018. No one was punished for all those seats that flipped after the polls closed and they found thousands of extra votes. Every single one flipped Dem, not a single one flipped Rep.
362!?!? That’s a YUGE landslide. Trump absolutely trounced Clinton in 2016 - I don’t care what anybody says - he picked up several big swing states that he didn’t even need to reach 270. (He could have lost Florida and still would have won.)
I’m very concerned that we’ll grow complacent and not show the dedication we did in 2016 though. I’d even argue the stakes are higher this cycle given how the House has been acting and the Dems open support of Antifa/BLM rioters. We MUST vote.
Also - not to be “that guy” - we need to address the big issue. Trump can’t do this alone. The man is a freaking machine, but we need to give the Dems as little power as possible. Try to cut their numbers down in the House and Senate (just imagine the nightmare if they continue to grow). I don’t like lame Republicans as much as the next dude but I’ll absolutely take a lazy Republican over an activist Democrat any day. Support your Republican congressmen, your local Republican legislators, and try and get as much Red across the board as possible!
But...but... muh Chuck Todd said if Trump lost FL it was game over...
This presumes a fair fight scenario. No cheating.
China.
DNC..
Communists. Will cheat.
The underestimated us.
They won't this time and will pull out all the stops.
God. Ultimately He puts leaders in positions of power. If it’s His will for Trump this next election, then Trump will win, despite the dirty tricks Dems will pull. Still vote though!
They're incompetent cheaters. Might be better cheaters this time, since they were blindsided last time and didn't take the cheating seriously enough since they thought they'd win anyway.
If Trump loses it will 100% be due to voter fraud and there will be a civil war. There is no way this country is voting this Marxist bullshit into office legally.
I have a feeling that as soon as this is over and President trump begins his second term the gloves are coming off and theres gonna be hell to pay ....!!!!
If they don't take action and start draining the Swamp before election day then there may be no second term. The other thing is that draining the Swamp is the biggest campaign promise Trump hasn't fulfilled yet and probably the most important one to some people so it needs to happen. Now. No one is going to say I can't believe we didn't drain the Swamp when Trump was in office if he's not reelected. They're going to be asking why four years was wasted and why they refused to arrest anyone despite all the evidence.
I agree with you on one point, "THEY" have done everything they possibly can do to derail and delay any sort of justice for US AND the President!!! Its fucking sickening, "THEY" actually attempted a "COUP" and yet all we seem to get is lip service. WTF!!!! I didnt wear the uniform and take an oath to defend this kind of shit! All thst shit aside, I still have faith in "most" of the ppl in the US to make the right decision. I believe the President will win and win BIG!!!
Keep pushing pedes! We trashed the special elections in CA and WI, we can make this a red wave. Dont let us lose House, Senate or SCOTUS, and we might truly be able to do everything!
If themedia was fair instead of spreading fake news and colluding with the Democrats, Trump would have easily won 51 states including Greenland.
DO NOT GET COMPLACENT, of course.
But this model does go to the heart of why I've been telling fellow Pedes not to be discouraged by the polls. But then again, speaking of those polls:
https://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/506455-poll-biden-leads-trump-by-4-percentage-points-in-general
GEOTUS has seriously closed the gap over 1 month, and also notice the commentary about the huge enthusiasm gap.
The economy recovering but also all this BLM bullshit and defunding cops nonsense is having an impact imo.
Good prediction.. unless an incumbent's a naive weakling like Carter or very incompetent like Barry was they tend to have a solid repeat Also having a goof of an oponent helps too.. Nixon 72, FDR 36, Coolidge 24. If things go like they should, Trump attacks the Dems and campaigns hard, and if the GOP does what they need to do we could have a nice night indeed.
However we cannot afford to get lazy. All elections are local as the saying goes.. we gotta make sure the local communities and races stay on the GOP's side. That's what helped us in 2016 and stopped the blue wave from fully happening in 2018. My county for instance went full GOP for the first time ever in 2018. We gotta maintain the consistency while the Dems keep splintering.. if we do it deep enough we can have the local control for a good while.
We gotta stay open minded/hearted and keep on fighting.
Never seen an election preceded by a pandemic
Big X factor
Pandemic and riots were purposeful in an election year. Why? Because orange man bad they say...
But don’t get complacent! This election isn’t just about reelecting Trump, it’s about saving the country.
What did the model predict in 2016?
What 2 elections were they wrong on?
1960 and 2000
So basically they missed on 2000, considering the shenanigans that happened in 1960. And if we’re being honest, the Broward County “butterfly ballots” are what saved us from an Al Gote Presidency, so that probably shouldn’t count as a miss either.
NO SLACKING!!!
GO VOTE
That’s good news but let’s fight like we’re behind
This "primary model" is actually quite clever and it makes total sense to me.
That said, I hate election models. They serve as tools to manipulate people. Don't get complacent, just vote. Even if you live in a california or a massachusetts, go vote and vote red down-ballot. Even though I live in massachusetts (an unwinnable state), I definitely feel like its possible to flip my house seat here.
362 is babby numbers. I think we can get a clean sweep, even in California.
Dems want the Senate really bad. They don't care if they lose the president office. They want the Senate so they can impeach
i got that but it was blocked by the Senate. They want It to go thru
That has nothing to do with the Senate. He was 100% impeached
But they could do nothing about it Because of the Senate. Just words
The models assume a fair election though.
I wouldn't take this as gospel. This model is only analyzing enthusiasm for the two candidates, and doesn't take into account enthusiasm against them. The media has done an absolute bang up job of getting people riled up against Trump. And it's not just fake news; I see an absolute tedious amount of Trump bashing from people in know in real life on social media, to an extent that was never there with GWB. The Dems could run an empty suit (not far from the actual situation) and half of the country would feverishly vote for it.
Fact is that Trump is toast if he doesn't make something happen. His campaign to date doesn't have the same definition that it had in '16. He also needs some big news to break his way, something the public is generally with the GOP on, like another Guatemalan migrant crisis or Muslim terrorist attack. If the election were held today, he would lose.
Lots of Dem indictments through Maxwell would help, or even Reps...
Cast vote and meet up at the bar afterwards
I love our president and definitely believe he can win again, but that seems like a very optimistic prediction in terms of the electoral vote total. I think Trump will retain the easy red states and most - if not all - of the swing states he won in 2016. He could also pick up a couple of new ones like New Hampshire and maybe Minnesota, but that likely wouldn't be enough to get to 362. Overall, it's much too early to reach any concrete conclusion from these types of models, although this particular one should certainly give us hope.
In my view, Trump's biggest competition at this point is not Biden (or whichever individual the DNC selects): It is voter/election fraud. We know the Democrats are going to cheat at unprecedented levels, the likes of which would make even third-world governments blush. It's their final play, and they will take advantage of every possible loophole. That can't be allowed to happen.
Aaaaand it still is only a model. GEOTUS needs to stay strong and send powerful messages and cut a little bit back on some of his tweets. He needs to destroy Biden in the debates. The GOP members need to do their job and fight against voter fraud. His supporters need to red-pill everyone and show up on election day.
Vote like your life depends on it, it does. Not even exaggerating.
DONT BE COMPLACENT. GET OUT THERE AND VOTE
fucking huge. Still get out and vote though
DO. NOT. GET. COMPLACENT!
Doubt the model includes the cheat factor. Used to be 15% now it’ll be 30.
Not buying polls or predictions. You mofos better get out and vote.
There's that other guy that has picked the winner correctly on the past 4 elections based on like 9 categories.
Those models don't account for voter fraud....Register To Vote Today!!
Maybe every American should be banned from the social media publishers for being closet Trump voters.
This ain't no regular year. Ain't no regular election.
I hope so!
GET OUT AND VOTE...we need to outweigh the cheating
That's not including massive fraud
The model assumes that the votes are cast legitimately.