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Model that got it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912 (when primaries were introduced) predicts Trump wins reelection with 362 electoral votes, more than in 2016 (www.foxnews.com)
posted ago by EthnoBiowarfareVirus ago by EthnoBiowarfareVirus +2964 / -0
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– EthnoBiowarfareVirus [S] 5 points ago +7 / -2

I don't want to sound like a hater, because I'm just being realistic and clear eyed, but I don't believe the online attendance numbers, and even if I did, that's still very different from people showing up in person to campaign rallies. Will everyone who watches online vote in person? I think not = turnout risk and mail in ballot risk. Will everyone who goes to a rally in person vote in person? Pretty much, yeah. We need to be realistic here in order to win

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– ChinaFlu 2 points ago +2 / -0

Also, how many of the online attendees were foreigners who also like Trump but can't vote here.

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– spezisacuckold 2 points ago +2 / -0

The Internet would be a much better place if we could reliably tell which jurisdiction posters came from.

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