Recently predicted HI would occur at 19%. I specifically predicted Aug 1 or a few days thereafter would see the effects of such.

See thread:

https://thedonald.win/p/GIq5xjKm/prediction--aug-1-2020--curve-be/

Several factors contributed to prediction:

Diamond Princess Cruise Ship

CDC admission that they are only catching at most 1 in 10 cases

Antibody test from all over the world, specifically Stanford

And now another research piece:

https://off-guardian.org/2020/07/07/second-wave-not-even-close/