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sagebrushfire 2 points ago +2 / -0

Polls are a funny thing. I see to work as a telemarketer. My company would pay for a phone list that another company would sell to them. In other words, you clicked “yes” when you signed up for something even when the fine print said we will sell your information. Of the phone lists I received, over 80+% were cell/phones, not landlines. Even with smart phones being ubiquitous in our society, certain age groups (especially those over 60+ STIILL have a landline.) That was 10 years ago. Cell phone usage has gone up. This means that if I’m a pollster and call you on a cell number, chances are that you’re under the age of 60 at least. We know that the youth almost universally votes liberal but the saving grace is that they are the absolute worst demographic, irrespective of race or gender, for voting. We also know that out of the major pollsters, only Rasmussen swerves right. Almost ALL over sample Democrats 2/1 or even 3/1 in these polls. For instance, Breitbart had yet another, “Oh noes! Trump is down by a billion percent” hit piece the other day basing their entire story off of an ABC/Marist poll. The data was literally in the graph. Democrats were oversampled in the poll 2/1! For every 24 Dems asked, 10 Republicans we’re asked.

Then you add on the taken out of context/agenda driven and skewed nature of the questions themselves. For every, “How would you rate Donald Trump as President?” question you get two “hit” questions. The topic is always, “How do you believe Trump could do better?” rather than, “What has Joe Biden said which makes you trust him as President?”

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WildStar 1 point ago +1 / -0

Two other things to consider about polling as well:

First, understand the state of polling today: A stranger calls you and asks, "Who are you voting for?"

What isn't said, but might as well be: "If you answer wrong we'll kill you, rape your wife, and burn down your house."

So, "Who are you voting for?"

Second, we're just more private than the tiktok/twitter generation.

This is my policy with my cell phone, and I don't believe I'm alone in this: When i get a call, I check the name if it's in my contacts; then decide if I want to talk to that person today. If the number is not in my contacts: It goes to voice mail. PERIOD. I will not answer a number that I don't recognize. So even if a pollster were to get my number, which is much less likely since I'm more selective about who i give it to, I won't be answering anyway.