This will not be a popular post here, but I’ve spent the last month looking at case mortality rates.
That’s the percentage of confirmed cases in which the person dies.
You can’t draw a lot of detailed conclusions, because Different countries and states have different criteria for reporting, and the amount of testing changes.
If you do a lot of testing, you report more cases, and the mortality rate goes down.
In the United States, in the early weeks, the rate was almost 10 percent. There was not much testing. Now we have lots of testing, and the rate has fallen to about two percent. In some states, it’s around one percent.
Since nine out of ten cases have no symptoms, or are not reported, the true mortality rate in the US is more like 0.1 or 0.2 percent.
My point is, I have looked at India’s data, and its case mortality rate is 3.4 percent. That’s the rate for confirmed cases, not including unreported cases.
Considering how reporting methods differ, that’s well within the usual range for countries. Unfortunately, India is just starting the upward curve, and will have more cases.
This will not be a popular post here, but I’ve spent the last month looking at case mortality rates.
That’s the percentage of confirmed cases in which the person dies.
You can’t draw a lot of detailed conclusions, because Different countries and states have different criteria for reporting, and the amount of testing changes.
If you do a lot of testing, you report more cases, and the mortality rate goes down.
In the United States, in the early weeks, the rate was almost 10 percent. There was not much testing. Now we have lots of testing, and the rate has fallen to about two percent. In some states, it’s around one percent.
Since nine out of ten cases have no symptoms, or are not reported, the true mortality rate in the US is more like 0.1 or 0.2 percent.
My point is, I have looked at India’s data, and its case mortality rate is 3.4 percent. That’s the rate for confirmed cases, not including unreported cases.
Considering how reporting methods differ, that’s well within the usual range for countries. Unfortunately, India is just starting the upward curve, and will have more cases.