40% of the electorate are brain dead lefties, 50% are conservative, the remaining 10% can usually be swayed either right or left. I predict those 10% will swing to the right because there is no way in hell they are voting for communists. This will be a Trump Electorate landslide.
But remember... take one or two people with you that didn’t vote last election to the polls and vote like your life depends on it!
Also, DO NOT SEND IN YOUR BALLOT. VOTE IN PERSON!
Gotta factor in the people who change their mind every other week based on the last thing they saw on TV (presumably part of your 10%), the motivation/enthusiasm gap, and voter fraud. I lean towards Trump winning by more than 2016 but the effects of the propaganda and voter fraud are hard to predict. Where'd you get the 40% and 50% figures?