67
posted ago by mobusdorphin ago by mobusdorphin +67 / -0

So here on theDonald.win I do see the death rate talked about more often than other places, but generally only in the context of tracking our own death rate over time. I was discussing testing statistics on the site that banned us and took a closer look at the data myself and noticed something interesting that shouldn't be too surprising to anyone here.

The discussion at hand was specifically about whether the U.S. tests more than other countries per-capita or not, and while we're not #1, we're pretty much tied for second place and two of the other top four are smaller, much more densely populated countries than us:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1104645/covid19-testing-rate-select-countries-worldwide/

The point was to compare our testing rate per-capita to our case rate per-capita, and I took a look at the following chart to see what our case rate was (sort by 'Confirmed Cases/1M pop'):

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/coronavirus/

While there is a slight correlation between per-capita testing and per-capita cases, it's not particularly strong. However, I think sorting by 'Confirmed case fatality rate' brings up another very interesting question. The top 5 countries that lead testing-per-capita have very wildly different death rates among confirmed cases (U.K. 15%, Spain 8%, U.S. 3%, Russia 1.6%, Qatar 0.16%). This means either one of three things:

A) The virus is either 5 times more deadly in the U.K. than the U.S., and the virus is twice as deadly in the U.S. than Russia

or

B) While the correlation between number of tests and cases is weak, who is being tested and the manner in which those cases are confirmed are wildly different between countries.

or

C) None of these correlations mean what we think they mean at all.

Either way, the entire narrative of "Country A is doing such a better job than Country B" narrative makes no sense when either each country is dealing with completely different strains, or the way data is being collected is completely different and cannot be compared.

One way or another, I think this shows Trump is 100% on target when he questions the validity of testing data and pretty much confirms that everybody (and this means everybody, not just the liberal media) has a massive confirmation bias and isn't looking hard enough at the data. I think a couple years from now when the meaning of the data doesn't affect who is going to win the next presidential election, we're all going to have a ton of 20/20 hindsight about who should have done what, when. I think at least those of us who question the current data really hard are more likely to be on the correct side of history than those who aren't.

P.S., I noticed that not only is China very suspiciously low on deaths and confirmed cases while high on tests, but they also seem to have an asterisk indicating some sort of footnote (as does Iran) but I can't seem to see where those footnotes are.

Comments (3)
sorted by:
4
deleted 4 points ago +4 / -0
2
deleted 2 points ago +2 / -0
4
mobusdorphin [S] 4 points ago +4 / -0

The liberal media that compares our case counts to other countries and pretends that's an accurate comparison