Yeah, but this time Professor L's sticking to normal traditional translations for each of his parameter categories.
That's pretending that everything going on around us this year is normal and traditional. That's either Lichtman being dishonest or vacuous. I don't know anybody LEFT OR RIGHT who considers this year to be normal or traditional.
So for Lichtman to apply his previous model "hunky dory" is like the Titanic captain deciding to engage Autopilot. or like 2016 pollsters refusing to adjust their methods despite knowing their criteria flopped last time.
I do see plenty of social media posts by TDS leftists who claim to be enthusiastic about Biden rescuing and redeeming the nation, as a cure for the Trump disease. Despite Biden never having been such a person during his past 4 decades in D.C.
There's nothing I can do to pierce the veil of such people, in the same way as TDS family relatives who've gone off the deep end.
Most Americans are carefully guarding their true beliefs to avoid negative reactions from the extreme left. Most media pundits and so-called journalists, are even more insulated in a micro-bubble of their peers this year than they were in 2016.
Trump is blending a variety of policies that mix both conservative and liberal populism. RINOs are meekly ducking their heads like ostriches. NeverTrumpers are allying w/ Pelosi/Schumer et al to promote Biden as a method of rescuing old-school conservatism. DJT is actually delivering on America First priorities that traditional politicians give lip service to during campaigns but never follow.
Normal people see that.
Obama was only "scandal free" because of media lies and gaslight distortion.
Trump's "scandals" have been biased lies and distortion.
I don't know why Lichtman's pretending like his traditional model doesn't need to be elastically modified to recognize 2020 events. To me the good news is that Trump recognizes the battlefield, like James Kirk evaluating the Kobayashi Maru. The next few months will contain dramatic twists and surprises.
Another advantage to Biden, in his analysis, is that Democrats made gains in the 2018 midterms when they won back the House. And Lichtman does not count Mr. Trump as a "charismatic incumbent," arguing that he appeals to a narrow voting base — which gives another point to Biden.
People who don't want to be fired for milquetoast opinions and don't want peaceful rioters in their neighborhood is a "narrow base" looool
I see your Stony Brook professor, and raise you an American University professor who says DRUMF WILL LOOOOOOOOSE lol
https://www.yahoo.com/news/2020-prediction-professor-called-every-181001596.html
Most professors have TDS
he did call '16 correctly
Yeah, but this time Professor L's sticking to normal traditional translations for each of his parameter categories.
That's pretending that everything going on around us this year is normal and traditional. That's either Lichtman being dishonest or vacuous. I don't know anybody LEFT OR RIGHT who considers this year to be normal or traditional.
So for Lichtman to apply his previous model "hunky dory" is like the Titanic captain deciding to engage Autopilot. or like 2016 pollsters refusing to adjust their methods despite knowing their criteria flopped last time.
I do see plenty of social media posts by TDS leftists who claim to be enthusiastic about Biden rescuing and redeeming the nation, as a cure for the Trump disease. Despite Biden never having been such a person during his past 4 decades in D.C.
There's nothing I can do to pierce the veil of such people, in the same way as TDS family relatives who've gone off the deep end.
Most Americans are carefully guarding their true beliefs to avoid negative reactions from the extreme left. Most media pundits and so-called journalists, are even more insulated in a micro-bubble of their peers this year than they were in 2016.
Trump is blending a variety of policies that mix both conservative and liberal populism. RINOs are meekly ducking their heads like ostriches. NeverTrumpers are allying w/ Pelosi/Schumer et al to promote Biden as a method of rescuing old-school conservatism. DJT is actually delivering on America First priorities that traditional politicians give lip service to during campaigns but never follow.
Normal people see that.
Obama was only "scandal free" because of media lies and gaslight distortion.
Trump's "scandals" have been biased lies and distortion.
I don't know why Lichtman's pretending like his traditional model doesn't need to be elastically modified to recognize 2020 events. To me the good news is that Trump recognizes the battlefield, like James Kirk evaluating the Kobayashi Maru. The next few months will contain dramatic twists and surprises.
Yeah, him having TDS was my thought too when I watched his video. Especially when he said that Biden has great charisma.
People who don't want to be fired for milquetoast opinions and don't want peaceful rioters in their neighborhood is a "narrow base" looool
My friend tried sighting this as why trump would lose