Another advantage to Biden, in his analysis, is that Democrats made gains in the 2018 midterms when they won back the House. And Lichtman does not count Mr. Trump as a "charismatic incumbent," arguing that he appeals to a narrow voting base — which gives another point to Biden.

People who don't want to be fired for milquetoast opinions and don't want peaceful rioters in their neighborhood is a "narrow base" looool