There's going to be a few years where the police and national guard are still expected to take care of it. If Trumps wins re-election, he'll force the federal and military agencies to play a bigger role. If Biden wins (ugh), there'll be a brief wave of triumphalism from the left.
In either case, what follows next will require several years to play out (either leftists resorting more and more to terrorism and hysteria, or carrying out a hysterical purge to try and cement their advantage forever, ram through gun legislation, etc).
The climax of that will represent the real tipping point towards militias.
The only thing that could avert or delay this significantly, is a war with China. Which actually, would be the best thing that could happen to America. (they don't have enough nukes to ensure MAD, so likely wouldn't go nuclear).
There's going to be a few years where the police and national guard are still expected to take care of it. If Trumps wins re-election, he'll force the federal and military agencies to play a bigger role. If Biden wins (ugh), there'll be a brief wave of triumphalism from the left.
In either case, what follows next will require several years to play out (either leftists resorting more and more to terrorism and hysteria, or carrying out a hysterical purge to try and cement their advantage forever, ram through gun legislation, etc).
The climax of that will represent the real tipping point towards militias.
The only thing that could avert or delay this significantly, is a war with China. Which actually, would be the best thing that could happen to America. (they don't have enough nukes to ensure MAD, so likely wouldn't go nuclear).