I haven’t looked at the case fatality rate for New York recently.
I’ve looked at case fatality rates all over the world. It ranges from one to four percent. The data is influenced by the amount of testing. More testing, lower CFR.
But no one has matched New York’s ability to kill people in nursing homes.
One other, really important thing:
Since New York stopped sending sick people to nursing homes, the death rate has plummeted.
The useful number is not the April rate, but the August rate.
The current USA rate is about two percent.
But that’s two percent of confirmed cases, and there are at least ten times that many who have no symptoms and never get reported.
So that’s a true death rate of 0.2 percent, if you get it.
And nearly all deaths are in people over 60, so if you are young and healthy, there’s almost no chance of dying.
One more thing. Not more than one person in five has had it, so divide 0.2 percent by five.
The death rate for the population is 0.04 percent. That’s four people in ten thousand.
The death rate for NY hasn't stopped completely, but it's come to a grinding halt compared to what it used to be.
Last I looked it averaged six deaths per day.
I haven’t looked at the case fatality rate for New York recently.
I’ve looked at case fatality rates all over the world. It ranges from one to four percent. The data is influenced by the amount of testing. More testing, lower CFR.
But no one has matched New York’s ability to kill people in nursing homes.