I think that is the simplest way of putting it. If everyone that voted last time votes for Trump again he will hands down. Amazingly, this time he may get many more voters from woman and minorities. Plus last time 5 million voted for Gary Johnson, could those voters vote for Trump this time? And then on top of all that, he can get votes from people were unsure about him in '16, but now that they've seen what he's done in office, will vote for him this time
It is well and truly Trump's to lose. This election could be as crushing a defeat as any in history.
My only worry is this mail-in voting crap the Dems will try and pull off.
He already has those votes from 2016, he is going for all the other votes of people who didnt vote, or who voted for 3rd party, or those who are middle of the road dems who cannot stand the socialist agenda- he is going for ALL the votes!!!
and it's worth noting, Kanye West is running in many states as an independent and will take votes away from Biden.