Trying to read the tea leaves from one poll to another is insane. A) the margin of error makes a 4 point swing mean almost nothing and B) they play with the samples until they get a result they want.

A republican in in rural PA will give you far different answers than a "republican" in Philly. Which person do you think is getting the phone call?

Crooked was "up" by 10+ points in michigan at this time in 2016.