The vast majority of people are politically disengaged which seems hard to believe given the day and age we live in, but its true, it always has been.

It is also true that most people vote based upon how a candidate makes them feel. Some people like Trump's strong man attitude, but alot of people get upset that he tells it like it is and can seem crude if the only side you are seeing is the one the media lets you see.

Trump has alot more politically engaged people, the politically engaged people who support Biden are typically far left maniacs who see Trump as literally hitler.

I think Trump will win for two reasons. Trump voters are MUCH more enthusiastic than Biden voters and also, the perception that Biden has this in the bag will cause the politically disengaged to mostly stay home, however, the secret trump voter and the fact that races are much closer in battleground states where it actually matters tells me that Biden voters are falling into a false sense of security.

If mail in voting wasn't a thing i wouldn't have any doubts about the outcome, but mail in voting makes it so much easier for the ignorant, tepid voters to get out there and vote, it also obviously creates a big opportunity for fraud.