This is not a great argument. Making long term predictions is far easier since there's more actual data cancelling out the noise. For example nobody has any fucking clue what the stock market will do in the next 3 days, but any idiot can tell you that it'll probably trend upward over the next 10 years.
Maybe a better example is that it's really hard to predict how many heads and tails will show up when I flip a fair coin 10 times vs if I flip it 10,000 times.
That being said, climate change predictions are fucked.
This is not a great argument. Making long term predictions is far easier since there's more actual data cancelling out the noise. For example nobody has any fucking clue what the stock market will do in the next 3 days, but any idiot can tell you that it'll probably trend upward over the next 10 years.
Maybe a better example is that it's really hard to predict how many heads and tails will show up when I flip a fair coin 10 times vs if I flip it 10,000 times.
That being said, climate change predictions are fucked.