Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
FWIW, convention bounces can persist a bit longer than people might assume. Our empirical analysis says it can affect polls for ~3 weeks from the final date of the convention. We're still (barely) within that period, and keep in mind that some polls are released with a lag.
its funny reading nate plastic on twitter spin why the polls are tightening.
Nate Silver @NateSilver538 FWIW, convention bounces can persist a bit longer than people might assume. Our empirical analysis says it can affect polls for ~3 weeks from the final date of the convention. We're still (barely) within that period, and keep in mind that some polls are released with a lag.
https://images.app.goo.gl/p1gzAQzKs4QBHxjU6
He looks trustworthy