The world learned in 2016 that polls are useless, most or biased and all misrepresent the facts.
I learned in a statistical analysis class that you can skew statistics to show anything you want just by changing the wording slightly.
Ive heard they can manipulate which type of Independents to call by their address. Im guessing calling independents in the big cities of a state will turnnout a higher number of left leaning independents then lets say if they were to call more rural living independents who may lean to the right more.
The bottom text says the data is weighted by things but even the unweighted total doesn't match. 566+248+336=1150 != 1200.
Either way, with the unweighted numbers, and assuming that the true proportions of D/R/I are 0.37, 0.33, and 0.30 respectively, the probability that you'd get 566/248/336 D/R/I in a true random sample is approximately 1.76*10^-19. or about 5 in 1 quintillion. In other words, they over-sampled D by a lot.
The world learned in 2016 that polls are useless, most or biased and all misrepresent the facts. I learned in a statistical analysis class that you can skew statistics to show anything you want just by changing the wording slightly.
Ive heard they can manipulate which type of Independents to call by their address. Im guessing calling independents in the big cities of a state will turnnout a higher number of left leaning independents then lets say if they were to call more rural living independents who may lean to the right more.
The bottom text says the data is weighted by things but even the unweighted total doesn't match. 566+248+336=1150 != 1200.
Either way, with the unweighted numbers, and assuming that the true proportions of D/R/I are 0.37, 0.33, and 0.30 respectively, the probability that you'd get 566/248/336 D/R/I in a true random sample is approximately 1.76*10^-19. or about 5 in 1 quintillion. In other words, they over-sampled D by a lot.
There are lies, damn lies and then there are statistics.
100% of people surveyed agree with your response. At least I do, and I only surveyed myself, but that’s 100%