I never understood how awful polls are until recently. Pollsters will intentionally commit major "errors" to show Biden in front. Polls will have tiny sample sizes, intentionally not poll HUGE areas of states because they'll likely be Trump supporters. They'll oversample populations that are more left leaning (millennials) even though they won't vote, and undersample Boomers and Gen- X who are guaranteed to vote. They'll intentionally not weight their samples for education. When they do weight for education they'll oversample very left wing groups (post-grad students) and count them as "students" even though most student groups are more moderate relatively speaking. They'll also release polls of "likely voters" and include voters who feel that they are less than 50% likely to vote for Biden, even though "likely voters" is generally considered to be over 50% likely.
They do this ON PURPOSE to depress our side and make us feel hopeless.
Its to Trump's advantage that the polls show him behind. Its is just motivating his base more. They don't understand that though. They don't understand why so many people believe we will go now the tubes quickly if Trump doesn't win. They don't have the context. Its alien to them. They are their own worst enemy, yet don't know it.
I never understood how awful polls are until recently. Pollsters will intentionally commit major "errors" to show Biden in front. Polls will have tiny sample sizes, intentionally not poll HUGE areas of states because they'll likely be Trump supporters. They'll oversample populations that are more left leaning (millennials) even though they won't vote, and undersample Boomers and Gen- X who are guaranteed to vote. They'll intentionally not weight their samples for education. When they do weight for education they'll oversample very left wing groups (post-grad students) and count them as "students" even though most student groups are more moderate relatively speaking. They'll also release polls of "likely voters" and include voters who feel that they are less than 50% likely to vote for Biden, even though "likely voters" is generally considered to be over 50% likely.
They do this ON PURPOSE to depress our side and make us feel hopeless.
https://www.youtube.com/c/PeoplesPunditDaily ^^ This channel really Redpilled me on just how dishonest most pollsters are.
They do this ON PURPOSE to depress our side and make us feel hopeless.
It didn't work in 2016 and it won't work now
This is how you get those politics threads on Reddit where it’s like “68% of all Americans support cuties”. It’s all fake
Its to Trump's advantage that the polls show him behind. Its is just motivating his base more. They don't understand that though. They don't understand why so many people believe we will go now the tubes quickly if Trump doesn't win. They don't have the context. Its alien to them. They are their own worst enemy, yet don't know it.