McSally is going to lose AZ, so that’s one down. I assume this is the year Collins loses in Maine, to that’s two down. Haven’t seen Cory Gardner’s polling in Colorado, but I assume he’s losing. That’s three down. Ernst is three points behind in Iowa, so that could be four down.
Montana is going to be close, but let’s say we pull it out. With a Tubberville win that leaves us at 50-50, with Pence breaking the tie on anything of substance.
Isn't Jones up for reelection in Alabama? At least that seat can be easily retrieved. The appointment of Sessions for AG was a huge mistake. Just because he was one of the few endorsers of the Trump campaign doesn't mean he was a good candidate for the job.
Yes, that’s the seat that Tubberville will presumably win back. But the other four I listed are probable GOP losses. A strong Trump showing might drag Ernst across the finish line (like he did for Ron Johnson in WI and Pat Toomey in PA in 2016) but McSally is definitely going to lose. Collins and Gardner are probably a lost cause too. Their states are too blue.
Assuming a Tubberville win, we can lose four and still hold the tie break with Pence. That’s not a lot of breathing room. Plus I think Murkowski will end up caucusing with the Dems before this is all over (my personal hunch based on my gut) so ideally we need to go into 2021 with 51 seats.
This is a tough cycle on the Senate side, and I get the feeling we’re going to end up with Majority Leader Schumer until 2022. I don’t mean to be a pessimist, but I have a really bad feeling.
That's the seat which Tubberville is expected to fill? In Alabama? Man, I wasn't following the senate races lately. The map looks really awful for the GOP this year, which only makes this SCOTUS vote more critical. It MUST be done when the GOP still has a majority. It's a God given opportunity too for Ernst, Gardner and other vulnerable ones. They may have a chance to turn the tide and jack up their numbers if they fight hard in this battle by showing their steadfast support for the nominee. If they virtue signal, though, they're definitely gonna lose.
McSally is going to lose AZ, so that’s one down. I assume this is the year Collins loses in Maine, to that’s two down. Haven’t seen Cory Gardner’s polling in Colorado, but I assume he’s losing. That’s three down. Ernst is three points behind in Iowa, so that could be four down.
Montana is going to be close, but let’s say we pull it out. With a Tubberville win that leaves us at 50-50, with Pence breaking the tie on anything of substance.
Isn't Jones up for reelection in Alabama? At least that seat can be easily retrieved. The appointment of Sessions for AG was a huge mistake. Just because he was one of the few endorsers of the Trump campaign doesn't mean he was a good candidate for the job.
Yes, that’s the seat that Tubberville will presumably win back. But the other four I listed are probable GOP losses. A strong Trump showing might drag Ernst across the finish line (like he did for Ron Johnson in WI and Pat Toomey in PA in 2016) but McSally is definitely going to lose. Collins and Gardner are probably a lost cause too. Their states are too blue.
Assuming a Tubberville win, we can lose four and still hold the tie break with Pence. That’s not a lot of breathing room. Plus I think Murkowski will end up caucusing with the Dems before this is all over (my personal hunch based on my gut) so ideally we need to go into 2021 with 51 seats.
This is a tough cycle on the Senate side, and I get the feeling we’re going to end up with Majority Leader Schumer until 2022. I don’t mean to be a pessimist, but I have a really bad feeling.
That's the seat which Tubberville is expected to fill? In Alabama? Man, I wasn't following the senate races lately. The map looks really awful for the GOP this year, which only makes this SCOTUS vote more critical. It MUST be done when the GOP still has a majority. It's a God given opportunity too for Ernst, Gardner and other vulnerable ones. They may have a chance to turn the tide and jack up their numbers if they fight hard in this battle by showing their steadfast support for the nominee. If they virtue signal, though, they're definitely gonna lose.