No - polls still have some predictive value. Anyone rationally reading the public polls knew Trump had a puncher's chance in 2016.
But once the popular vote gets to a certain margin it is nearly impossible to make it up in the Electoral College. If Trump loses the popular vote by 7-8 % he will lose, that is a simple fact.
Now I agree that there are a lot of garbage push polls out there. If I had to bet right now I would think Biden leads by 3-5 % in the popular vote, a little ahead of where Hilldawg was in November 2016. But I think Biden will fall off a bit after the debates and I think we are pretty close to a coin toss by November.
No - polls still have some predictive value. Anyone rationally reading the public polls knew Trump had a puncher's chance in 2016.
But once the popular vote gets to a certain margin it is nearly impossible to make it up in the Electoral College. If Trump loses the popular vote by 7-8 % he will lose, that is a simple fact.
Now I agree that there are a lot of garbage push polls out there. If I had to bet right now I would think Biden leads by 3-5 % in the popular vote, a little ahead of where Hilldawg was in November 2016. But I think Biden will fall off a bit after the debates and I think we are pretty close to a coin toss by November.