The betting sites were all wrong in 2016 until they started flipping to Trump at the last minute.
If Trump loses AZ he'll lose FL too. But the polling in both states is trending Trump.
These elections aren't in a vacuum. OH and IA were so strongly Trump in 2016 that it almost guaranteed that another Midwestern state would be pulled in. The Dems aren't even talking about OH or IA this year. Obama won them both twice.
The betting sites assume that the market of the people signed up for the website reflects the population of america. It’s no different then polling people online who also have disposable incomes (skewed liberal)
i get that. i won 5.5k on trump because of how wrong they were, with a bet of only $850. (it was that reps would win house, senate, and presidency so the odds were lower than they were even just on trump)
all i'm saying is people keep talking about MI, WI, and PA, for good reason, but yet a lot of people talk about them as if those are the only 3 states. states aren't in a vacuum but you can't just assume every other state will do what they did last time. trump only winning one of those would be too close for comfort, for me.
I agree, you can't take anything for granted (especially in this election with all the planned fraud) and only one of MI/WI/PA is too close for comfort.
The betting sites were all wrong in 2016 until they started flipping to Trump at the last minute.
If Trump loses AZ he'll lose FL too. But the polling in both states is trending Trump.
These elections aren't in a vacuum. OH and IA were so strongly Trump in 2016 that it almost guaranteed that another Midwestern state would be pulled in. The Dems aren't even talking about OH or IA this year. Obama won them both twice.
The betting sites assume that the market of the people signed up for the website reflects the population of america. It’s no different then polling people online who also have disposable incomes (skewed liberal)
i get that. i won 5.5k on trump because of how wrong they were, with a bet of only $850. (it was that reps would win house, senate, and presidency so the odds were lower than they were even just on trump)
all i'm saying is people keep talking about MI, WI, and PA, for good reason, but yet a lot of people talk about them as if those are the only 3 states. states aren't in a vacuum but you can't just assume every other state will do what they did last time. trump only winning one of those would be too close for comfort, for me.
I agree, you can't take anything for granted (especially in this election with all the planned fraud) and only one of MI/WI/PA is too close for comfort.