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Was anybody else wondering why 7 million infections and 200K deaths were being thrown around and nobody does the math explaining that only equates to a .029% death rate? This is how you turn big numbers into small ones. Duh!
posted ago by RandoMando2A ago by RandoMando2A +1180 / -0

It’s actually less when you factor in co-morbidities. Then back it explaining 99.71% survival rate WITH morbidities. Straight up would’ve pulled my calculator out and put Biden’s stupidity front and center. He wants to shutdown over .029% Come on man!

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– boreal_storm 42 points ago +42 / -0

Your math is off. Using the given numbers:

200,000 / 7,000,000 = .029 = 2.9%

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– RandoMando2A [S] 4 points ago +6 / -2

Well I would’ve used a calculator on stage. Still a number that illustrates my point though. Thank you for the correction. Not claiming to be a math whiz by any means.

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– congruent 8 points ago +9 / -1
  1. 7.4 million cases out of 107 million tested as of worldometer today 09/30/2020 8:00pm EDT. Thus, 7% of the country is infected.

(except there are false positives and false negatives, so, who knows?)

  1. 7% of 330 million total population is 22.8 million actually infected (including those who have not been tested).

  2. 200k deaths over 22.8 million infected = 0.00876 = 0.876% (assuming no testing bias)

Or roughly 1%.

  1. However...

50k of those deaths were NJ/NJ/CT/PA nursing home deaths. Preventable. Perhaps even intentionally artificially inflated. so,

150k / 22.8 million = 0.00658 = 0.658%

  1. And these 150k are died "with" covid, not died "of" covid. Meaning, if the person had a positive test, or had symptoms consistent with covid or otherwise the presiding physician suspects covid as a partial cause, it is listed as a covid death.

I would say, knock another 50k (maybe more) off for this over-reporting, so

100k / 22.8 million = 0.00438 = 0.438% so about 1/2 of 1 percent. Ie it's 99.5% survivable. If you're older, over 70, or over 80, your odds are worse. If you're younger, a child, teen, or in your 20s or 30s your odds are even better than this.

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– deleted 7 points ago +7 / -0
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– deleted 4 points ago +4 / -0
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– Gold-Eyed-Cat 1 point ago +1 / -0

He can't because the second Trump says "Rona deaths (without other deadly illnesses) is only 9000 people" the media and Mister Dementia will spend 72 hours straight screaming, "DRUMP MURDERED 9000 PEOPLE AND DOESN'T CARE! REEEEEEE!"

 

So he has to be super careful to not appear flippant or calloused. It sucks.

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