‘Polls’ are seriously flawed by the samples taken and sample pool or bias and cannot account for nearly any of the variables of human decision making. There is a different field that uses actual data and not opinion, namely mathematical models of data collected. The best model for predicting Presidential elections is the Primary Model which uses actual primary votes cast. This model has predicted every election correctly except two since 1912. (1912 was the first year that primaries were used) This model correctly picked Trump in March of 2016 with 87% certainty. Now the model predicts Trump to be reelected with 91% certainty. I challenge anyone to find a ‘poll’ that has the near perfect record of the Primary Model.
Trump's 2020 primary performance is often forgotten on this forum and willfully ignored by democrats. He pulled in unbelievable numbers for an unchallenged incumbent.
‘Polls’ are seriously flawed by the samples taken and sample pool or bias and cannot account for nearly any of the variables of human decision making. There is a different field that uses actual data and not opinion, namely mathematical models of data collected. The best model for predicting Presidential elections is the Primary Model which uses actual primary votes cast. This model has predicted every election correctly except two since 1912. (1912 was the first year that primaries were used) This model correctly picked Trump in March of 2016 with 87% certainty. Now the model predicts Trump to be reelected with 91% certainty. I challenge anyone to find a ‘poll’ that has the near perfect record of the Primary Model.
http://primarymodel.com/
Trump's 2020 primary performance is often forgotten on this forum and willfully ignored by democrats. He pulled in unbelievable numbers for an unchallenged incumbent.