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Bullet3250 [S] 10 points ago +10 / -0

When the Polling data is D+9 Biden is up 5.

Most polling is 'LV' Likely voters (defined as those who have voted in the last 4 elections.)

Few if any polls include 'new registered voters' -

and few if any polls include 'Voter enthusiasm" - or the overall intent to actually vote....

  • and there is always this gem:

"The data sets were weighted by gender, age, and education based on 2016 voter turnout modeling."