I'm fearful that mail in ballots, ballot harvesting and straight up voter fraud are going to end up hurting us. Don't know what states we need to be watching, but Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin seem like big targets for Democrat fuckery.
I wish more states did that, it's a better representation of how a state voted and would go a long way to neutralizing the influence of large cities in the outcome.
This is more or less my own estimation based on my analysis of the data, trends, and metrics observations. The only difference I have is that I don't have NM going red, and I treat MN as variable (I'm also not entirely sure about NH, but it doesn't really matter too much). So I land on around 310 at the low end and around 330 at the high end.
But it seems very plausible to me that the election map should look very close to something like this, sans significant fraud/cheating, barring some anomalous happenings throughout the remaining month before the November.
I don't get the NM pick. Admittedly, I'm not very informed about NM politics, so maybe he knows something I don't, but the data doesn't seem to suggest any reason it would flip from what I have seen.
It does look like Democrat support is actually trending down. Obama to Obama to Clinton have all seen dips in overall Democrat margins. But it still looks like a pretty steep hill to climb. The primary results were pretty strong for Trump, but Biden still beat him by about 40k. How much of that can you put on the fact that it was an challenger primary vs an incumbent primary? I don't know.
I think Trump can certainly continue the trend of narrowing the margins, but I don't really see him flipping it here.
I looked into it. He wasn't right on which states, but the total count of states. Trump won 30.5 states and he guessed 30.
I'm fearful that mail in ballots, ballot harvesting and straight up voter fraud are going to end up hurting us. Don't know what states we need to be watching, but Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin seem like big targets for Democrat fuckery.
Live by the sword die by the sword type of shit. They are fucked and they know it. Why else is crazy nancy going for the 35th amendment shit?
I hope he's wrong about California. I hate this state's government.
Thanks to all the white lefties in NoVA in their multi-million dollar mansions shutting out the plebs.
Rigging is hardcore here
That would be dope
Did Maine Balkanize?
Maine splits their electoral votes. Trump got 1 of Maine's electoral votes in 2016.
I wish more states did that, it's a better representation of how a state voted and would go a long way to neutralizing the influence of large cities in the outcome.
Well, sonovabitch!
This is more or less my own estimation based on my analysis of the data, trends, and metrics observations. The only difference I have is that I don't have NM going red, and I treat MN as variable (I'm also not entirely sure about NH, but it doesn't really matter too much). So I land on around 310 at the low end and around 330 at the high end.
But it seems very plausible to me that the election map should look very close to something like this, sans significant fraud/cheating, barring some anomalous happenings throughout the remaining month before the November.
I don't get the NM pick. Admittedly, I'm not very informed about NM politics, so maybe he knows something I don't, but the data doesn't seem to suggest any reason it would flip from what I have seen.
It does look like Democrat support is actually trending down. Obama to Obama to Clinton have all seen dips in overall Democrat margins. But it still looks like a pretty steep hill to climb. The primary results were pretty strong for Trump, but Biden still beat him by about 40k. How much of that can you put on the fact that it was an challenger primary vs an incumbent primary? I don't know.
I think Trump can certainly continue the trend of narrowing the margins, but I don't really see him flipping it here.
THIS IS MAGA COUNTRY
Here’s my take.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/0WlpN
Save it!
I looked up the 2016 results for Minnesota (by popular vote):
It was Hillary with 46.44% and Trump with 44.92% of the votes.
Doesn't seem too far fetched. But I don't know what's important to Minnesotans so...