Go watch the Peoples Pundit Daily on Youtube, especially the episodes with Robert Barnes. Really good watch if you want to know the truths about polls.
I'm thinking about betting hard on Trump with these odds.
I would do it in a heartbeat if I knew how and if it were legal for me to do so. I just mentioned in another post how it’s free money, and I doubt this spread will hold for much longer.
I don't know if you got $2550 laying around but if you maxed NO on each of those, at .32, .33, and .32 currently, that would return $7888, before the fees of about 15% (yeah 15%).
I've been putting literally all my extra money into this for the last 4 months. I'm ummm...VERY interested in this election. Politically and financially. Daddy needs. Mes truck!!
So this has Biden YES at .66, and Trump YES at .40. So just buy Trump YES, right? WRONG! Buy Biden NO at (1.00 - .66 = .34 (plus a penny arbitrage). If that makes sense.
Also. While you can buy thay Biden NO for .35, you could also go to a different market like...
Go watch the Peoples Pundit Daily on Youtube, especially the episodes with Robert Barnes. Really good watch if you want to know the truths about polls.
I'm thinking about betting hard on Trump with these odds.
I would do it in a heartbeat if I knew how and if it were legal for me to do so. I just mentioned in another post how it’s free money, and I doubt this spread will hold for much longer.
Predictit.org
Well this was a pleasant surprise. Thank you!
More info. There are $850 limits on almost every market.
If you want to play it safe, your best returns are the state Dem winners markets:
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5960/Will-the-2020-SC-Democratic-primary-winner-win-the-presidency
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5961/Will-the-2020-TX-Democratic-primary-winner-win-the-presidency
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5963/Will-the-2020-MA-Democratic-primary-winner-win-the-presidency
I don't know if you got $2550 laying around but if you maxed NO on each of those, at .32, .33, and .32 currently, that would return $7888, before the fees of about 15% (yeah 15%).
I've been putting literally all my extra money into this for the last 4 months. I'm ummm...VERY interested in this election. Politically and financially. Daddy needs. Mes truck!!
So a couple things to consider.
For every single market, you can buy YES or NO.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3698/Who-will-win-the-2020-US-presidential-election
So this has Biden YES at .66, and Trump YES at .40. So just buy Trump YES, right? WRONG! Buy Biden NO at (1.00 - .66 = .34 (plus a penny arbitrage). If that makes sense.
Also. While you can buy thay Biden NO for .35, you could also go to a different market like...
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5960/Will-the-2020-SC-Democratic-primary-winner-win-the-presidency
And buy NO that the "Democrat primary winner in the state of SC (Biden) becomes POTUS" for currently .32 per share.
https://www.bovada.lv/sports/politics also works. I used my credit card.
$100 for Trump to win pays $160 ($260 back to you)
$100 for Trump to win popular vote pays $400 ($500 back to you)
$100 for NH to flip red pays $315 ($415 back to you)
I win 400 from bovada in 2016. Great coffee money.