Obviously there are battle ground states. What states are in close contest? I don't agree with the polls because I'm sure they are there to sway and not inform. However, what leads us to believe that Trump will not take the same states as 2016?
Few things to point out. The closest states according to https://www.usnews.com/news/the-run-2016/articles/2016-11-14/the-10-closest-states-in-the-2016-election
- Michigan 0.3 percent
Trump 47.6 percent, Clinton 47.3 percent
Difference: 13,080 votes
- New Hampshire 0.4 percent
Clinton 47.6 percent, Trump 47.2 percent
Difference: 2,701 votes
- Wisconsin 1 percent
Trump 47.9 percent, Clinton 46.9 percent
Difference: 27,257 votes
- Pennsylvania 1.2 percent
Trump 48.8 percent, Clinton 47.6 percent
Difference: 68,236 votes (99 percent reporting)
- Florida 1.2 percent
Trump 49 percent, Clinton 47.8 percent
Difference: 114,455 votes
- Minnesota 1.5 percent
Clinton 46.4 percent, Trump 44.9 percent
Difference: 44,470 votes
- Nevada 2.4 percent
Clinton 47.9 percent, Trump 45.5 percent
Difference: 26,434 votes
- Maine 2.7 percent
Clinton 47.9 percent, Trump 45.2 percent
Difference: 19,995 votes
- North Carolina 3.8 percent
Trump 49.9 percent, Clinton 46.1 percent
Difference: 177,009 votes
- Arizona 3.9 percent
Trump 49.3 percent, Clinton 45.4 percent
Difference: 91,682 votes
I don't ever look or listen to polls. I determine support for Trump by the enthusiasm to which there is a lot. Beyond that, if you look at all the polls they are highly slanted to the left.
No name Libertarian this year and no McMuffin.