I think the polls they are always peddle are complete bs. I've noticed when reporting they will put up two large numbers usually 52 to 48 in Biden's favor in large font on the screen, then in very hard to ready tiny letters they will show who did the poll.
They know that most people that see the polls on tv aren't going to go to the pollsters website and look at who got polled.
Who in the hell answers polls anyway?? These people don't have anything better to do than tall to a stranger on the phone about who they're voting for?
Which makes me think, are the people being polled being called on thier old school home phones as opposed to cellphones, making them older and perhaps therefore Democrat voters?
Also why would any person voting for Trump tell a stranger that and potentially get doxxed and end up on some list which could affect them in the future?
It's cliche but the only poll that matters is the one on election day.
From the data I can see, twitter followers, crowds at rallies etc, I see Trump winning big on election day.
I've studied statistics and projections for years (baseball projections mostly) and have a good grasp of how it all works. I made a post explaining in detail how polling is fundamentally flawed and how Heomut Norpoth's primary model is a much superior projection method (and a 93% success rate proves it) https://thedonald.win/p/HrOzRpRe/how-to-win-arguments-against-the/
Lots of polls are biased, and it shows in the media...but on top of that, if a polling company was actually legitimately trying to predict the election or electoral outcome as accurately as possible, the results would be highly inaccurate anyways because polling methods are just trash and it's an impossible problem to fix. A lot of it has to do with human social behavior, demographic voting projections being almost impossible to predict and pollsters being unable to filter out the honest from who's lying to them.