I played around with the Electoral Map on RCP and I have Trump winning but it's going to be tight. But I'm fairly confident now as I'm combining some of the early voting results with polling data and overall sentiment.
I have Trump winning with 274. Loses AZ and PA, but otherwise keeps all the other states from 2016. I Was worried about WI and MI for a while but early voting looks good imo in those 2 states unlike PA. I gave the various congressional districts to Biden just for the heck of it.
PA Republicans are terrified of voter fraud, so they will only vote on Election day. They will outvote Dems 3-1 on Election day, so the Dems have to be way up in early voting if they want to counter this
PA has trended more red since 2016. Dems have lost 200k registered voters, and only 6 out of 67 counties added more Dem voters than Rep
Nothing like this time around though. Too many states with hundreds of thousands, millions even, of uncontrolled and unverifiable mail-in ballots, with requests sent to everyone ever registered, even if moved or dead. This is going to be a certified shit show.
I played around with the Electoral Map on RCP and I have Trump winning but it's going to be tight. But I'm fairly confident now as I'm combining some of the early voting results with polling data and overall sentiment.
I have Trump winning with 274. Loses AZ and PA, but otherwise keeps all the other states from 2016. I Was worried about WI and MI for a while but early voting looks good imo in those 2 states unlike PA. I gave the various congressional districts to Biden just for the heck of it.
PA Republicans are terrified of voter fraud, so they will only vote on Election day. They will outvote Dems 3-1 on Election day, so the Dems have to be way up in early voting if they want to counter this
PA has trended more red since 2016. Dems have lost 200k registered voters, and only 6 out of 67 counties added more Dem voters than Rep
Everyone should be terrified of voter fraud.
I’m ready to do my part and my whole family to vote trump except my in law faggots who vote D no matter what
Give them a vacation
The biggest concern is that vote fraud this election will be worse than it ever has been in our history, perhaps orders of magnitude so
I'm sure there was voter fraud in 2016 and he still won.
Nothing like this time around though. Too many states with hundreds of thousands, millions even, of uncontrolled and unverifiable mail-in ballots, with requests sent to everyone ever registered, even if moved or dead. This is going to be a certified shit show.
Was going to say "What about FDR?" but you are right. He went up from 1 to 2 but had less in terms 3 and 4.
Obama did worse in 2012.
Don't count out PA. New Republican voter registrations are up strong. I think we will go bigger for Trump in 2020 than in 2016.
I was just in PA last week and if signs are an indication...POTUS will win in PA!
even with fraud?
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