posted ago by mysteriousanimatorx
+17 / -0
Radio was gleefully pronouncing that in states where voting was early democrats outvoted Republicans by almost 70 percent. But we all knew they'd do this. Republicans are more likely to show up on election day. So what are the odds some major catastrophe occurs in the battleground states on election day that keep Republicans from showing up?
Food for thought.
The first thing we need to do is to educate ourselves with the facts. There were 2 pollsters that got 2016 right and one poll reader who has never lost a Presidential bet. https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCWubnBV028_4rVoDPt7FpNQ Any video there is what you want to listen to with the exception of the one titled: "Inside The Numbers: Shills, Softballs and Dueling Town Halls". That vid is just commentary on the debates.
Here are the numbers you need to see. They show the percentage of voters by Party who distrust early mail-in voting. Republican: 65% Independents: 60% Democrat: 33%. So Republicans and Indies are much less likely to vote early and or by mail than Democrats. Trump also voiced his distrust of mail-in early voting and a lot of us got the message. But the biggest reason why not to do early voting is, it makes it much harder for Democrats to cheat. In order to pad the vote, you need to have a good idea of what you will need. Go over that amount and you will get caught. Too little and you lose the election. When we don't early vote, and the Dems do, they have no idea how many of us are coming out to vote election day and can't prepare adequately. Now the reality check. Even with all of that, the actual numbers of Democrats voting early over Republican votes is only about 10%. This is the worst possible news for Democrats. It should be 50 and 60% more but it's not. The radio station either lied or misread the report. 70% was the expected number and there isn't a state in America that is above 30%. Can you see why 30% is very bad news for them? Please go to the link I provided, learn, and then teach.
Everyone at the end of 2016 was talking about how all the polling methods should be burned to the ground and totally reimagined so unless you’re aware of some institutional change that’s taken place I’d say they’re probably similarly reliable: not very
The early voting looks great atm. Since it only tracks registered party the numbers might not be perfect. But I am starting to hear the nerves from left wing polling firms. The numbers do not support the polling.
if I may, do you have a link to this? or some kind of coverage? I'd love to see it.
I had read better articles, I would back track a bit.. https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/early-voting-data-in-battleground-states-shows-trump-outpacing-national-polls-giving-biden-an-edge
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PjjRxPglJmE Tim Pool mostly about party affiliation and early votes.