That's why I said the average of national polls; not every single poll. You can still go to RCP and see their polling average for 2016. It's pretty close to right (off by 1.2 percentage points, which is not bad by historical standards).

:edit: Of course, polls in the Summer and early Fall of an election year are still much too early to have any predictive value.

That's why I said the average of national polls; not every single poll. You can still go to RCP and see their polling average for 2016. It's pretty close to right (off by 1.2 percentage points, which is not bad by historical standards).

That's why I said the average of national polls; not every single poll. You can still go to RCP and see their polling average for 2016. It's pretty close to right.