I agree. I think liberals will become increasingly less relevant. Conservatives have a fertility advantage of 41%, and this is esp. true for white Evangelicals.
To give you an idea how huge the impact of this 41% fertility edge is:
In a population evenly divided, conservatives would increase from 50 to 62.5% of the population in a single generation (i.e. 30-40 years). In two generations, their number would increase to 73.5%, and over the course of 200 years (ca. 6 generations), they would represent 99.4%!
conservatives........liberals
Generation 0.....50%..................... 50%
Generation 1.....62.5%...................37.5%
Generation 2.....73.5%.................. 26.5%
Generation 6.....99.4%...................0.06%
So one generation alone at current fertility rates would doom liberals for good. The decrease in white fertility was due to liberals having fewer children, but as conservatives are growing in numbers, they will more than make up for it by exponential growth which is why white fertility rates are about to turn around, acc. to various models in the late 2020ies. This growing number of children from conservative parents is why Gen Z is the most conservative generation in recent memeory. Dr. Turley made a great video about it. Also, children of Conservatives mostly stay true to heir parents' perspectives and more Evangelicals are joining the faith than are leaving, so there is no evidence these groups are bleeding young people.
I agree. I think liberals will become increasingly less relevant. Conservatives have a fertility advantage of 41%, and this is esp. true for white Evangelicals.
To give you an idea how huge the impact of this 41% fertility edge is:
In a population evenly divided, conservatives would increase from 50 to 62.5% of the population in a single generation (i.e. 30-40 years). In two generations, their number would increase to 73.5%, and over the course of 200 years (ca. 6 generations), they would represent 99.4%!
conservatives........liberals
Generation 0.....50%..................... 50%
Generation 1.....62.5%...................37.5%
Generation 2.....73.5%.................. 26.5%
Generation 6.....99.4%...................0.06%
So one generation alone at current fertility rates would doom liberals for good. The decrease in white fertility was due to liberals having fewer children, but as conservatives are growing in numbers, they will more than make up for it by exponential growth which is why white fertility rates are about to turn around, acc. to various models in the late 2020ies. Also, children of Conservatives mostly stay true to heir parents' perspectives and more Evangelicals are joining the faith than are leaving, so there is no evidence these groups are bleeding young people.
I agree. I think liberals will become increasingly less relevant. Conservatives have a fertility advantage of 41%, and this is esp. true for white Evangelicals.
To give you an idea how huge the impact of this 41% fertility edge is:
In a population evenly divided, conservatives would increase from 50 to 62.5% of the population in a single generation (i.e. 30-40 years). In two generations, their number would increase to 73.5%, and over the course of 200 years (ca. 6 generations), they would represent 99.4%!
conservatives........liberals
Generation 0.....50%..................... 50%
Generation 1.....62.5%...................37.5%
Generation 2.....73.5%.................. 26.5%
Generation 6.....99.4%...................0.06%
The decrease in white fertility was due to liberals having fewer children, but as conservatives are growing in numbers, they will more than make up for it by exponential growth which is why white fertility rates are about to turn around, acc. to various models in the late 2020ies. Also, children of Conservatives mostly stay true to heir parents' perspectives and more Evangelicals are joining the faith than are leaving, so there is no evidence these groups are bleeding young people.
I agree. I think liberals will become increasingly less relevant. Conservatives have a fertility advantage of 41%, and this is esp. true for white Evangelicals.
To give you an idea how huge the impact of this 41% fertility edge is:
In a population evenly divided, conservatives would increase from 50 to 62.5% of the population in a single generation (i.e. 30-40 years). In two generations, their number would increase to 73.5%, and over the course of 200 years (ca. 6 generations), they would represent 99.4%!
conservatives........liberals
Generation 0.....50%..................... 50%
Generation 1.....62.5%...................37.5%
Generation 2.....73.5%.................. 26.5%
Generation 6.....99.4%...................0.06%
The decrease in white fertility was due to liberals having fewer children, but as conservatives are growing in numbers, they will more than make up for it by exponential growth which is why white fertility rates are about to turn around, acc. to various models in the late 2020ies. Also, children of Conservatives mostly stay true to heir parents' perspectives and more Evangelicals are joining the faith than are leaving, so there is no evidence these groups are bleeding young people. This doesn't even include Mormons or Anabaptist groups such as Mennonites and the Amish which double every 20 years due to a fertility rate of 8.
I agree. I think liberals will become increasingly less relevant. Conservatives have a fertility advantage of 41%, and this is esp. true for white Evangelicals. The decrease in white fertility was due to liberals having fewer children, but as conservatives are growing in numbers, they will more than make up for it by exponential growth which is why white fertility rates are about to turen around, acc. to various models in the late 2020ies. Also, children of Conservatives mostly stay true to heir parents' perspectives and more Evangelicals are joining the faith than are leaving, so there is no evidence these groups are bleeding young people. This doesn't even include Mormons or Anabaptist groups such as Mennonites and the Amish which double every 20 years due to a fertility rate of 8.
I agree. I think liberals will become increasingly less relevant. Conservatives have a fertility advantage of 41%, and this is esp. true for white Evangelicals. The decrease in white fertility was due to liberals having fewer children, but as conservatives are growing in numbers, they will more than make up for it by exponential growth. Also, children of Conservatives mostly stay true to heir parents' perspectives and more Evangelicals are joining the faith than are leaving, so there is no evidence these groups are bleeding young people. This doesn't even include Mormons or Anabaptist groups such as Mennonites and the Amish which double every 20 years due to a fertility rate of 8.
I agree. I think liberals will become increasingly less relevant. Conservatives have a fertility advantage of 41%, and this is esp. true for white Evangelicals. Also, children of Conservatives mostly stay true to heir parents' perspectives and more Evangelicals are joining the faith than are leaving, so there is no evidence these groups are bleeding young people. This doesn't even include Mormons or Anabaptist groups such as Mennonites and the Amish which double every 20 years due to a fertility rate of 8.