I'm really curious to see what 2020's final numbers are from the CDC in terms of deaths by month. I tried to do some digging, but as of right now we only have Jan-Mar available.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/provisional-tables.htm
On the top-right of the page, there's a dropdown menu labeled "Display by Year".
For 2020, so far we have the following recorded:
- January - 263,000 deaths
- February - 243,000 deaths
- March - 268,000 deaths
Now, here are the numbers from 2019:
- January - 258,000 deaths (5,000 fewer than 2020)
- February - 233,000 deaths (10,000 fewer than 2020)
- March - 255,000 deaths (13,000 fewer than 2020)
These numbers seem to indicate an increase in deaths, first by 5k, then 10k, then 13k. But what about adjusting for population growth? I wish a true statistician would look at these figures, but here's the best I can do.
Population growth in the United States from 2019 to 2020 is 0.59%, however I'm not entirely sure if it's mathematically sound to multiple the 2019 deaths by 1.0059 to arrive at a 2020-adjusted figure. If it is correct, then those 2020-adjusted numbers are as follows:
- January 2019 - 259,522.2 deaths
- February 2019 - 234,374.7 deaths
- March 2019 - 256,504.5 deaths
What would make these figures meaningful would be including the last 10+ years into the calculation in order to take into account any sort of standard deviation.
Anybody with more experience/knowledge in this area, please feel free to chime in to educate me and everyone else!
I'm really curious to see what 2020's final numbers are from the CDC in terms of deaths by month. I tried to do some digging, but as of right now we only have Jan-Mar available.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/provisional-tables.htm
On the top-right of the page, there's a dropdown menu labeled "Display by Year".
For 2020, so far we have the following recorded:
- January - 263,000 deaths
- February - 243,000 deaths
- March - 268,000 deaths
Now, here are the numbers from 2019:
- January - 258,000 deaths (5,000 fewer than 2020)
- February - 233,000 deaths (10,000 fewer than 2020)
- March - 255,000 deaths (13,000 fewer than 2020)
These numbers seem to indicate an increase in deaths, first by 5k, then 10k, then 13k. But what about adjusting for population growth? I wish a true statistician would look at these figures, but here's the best I can do.
Population growth in the United States from 2019 to 2020 is 0.59%, however I'm not entirely sure if it's mathematically sound to multiple the 2019 deaths by 1.0059 to arrive at a 2020-adjusted figure. If it is correct, then those 2020-adjusted numbers are as follows:
- January 2019 - 259,522.2 deaths
- February 2019 - 234,374.7 deaths
- March 2019 - 256,504.5 deaths
Anybody with more experience/knowledge in this area, please feel free to chime in to educate me and everyone else!
I'm really curious to see what 2020's final numbers are from the CDC in terms of deaths by month. I tried to do some digging, but as of right now we only have Jan-Mar available.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/provisional-tables.htm
On the top-right of the page, there's a dropdown menu labeled "Display by Year".
For 2020, so far we have the following recorded:
- January - 263,000 deaths
- February - 243,000 deaths
- March - 268,000 deaths
Now, here are the numbers from 2019:
- January - 258,000 deaths (5,000 fewer than 2020)
- February - 233,000 deaths (10,000 fewer than 2020)
- March - 255,000 deaths (13,000 fewer than 2020)
These numbers seem to indicate an increase in deaths, first by 5k, then 10k, then 13k. But what about adjusting for population growth? I wish a true statistician would look at these figures, but here's the best I can do.
Population growth in the United States from 2019 to 2020 is 0.59%, however I'm not entirely sure if it's mathematically sound to multiple the 2019 deaths by 1.059 to arrive at a 2020-adjusted figure. If it is correct, then those 2020-adjusted numbers are as follows:
- January 2019 - 273,222 deaths
- February 2019 - 256,747 deaths
- March 2019 - 270,045 deaths
Anybody with more experience/knowledge in this area, please feel free to chime in to educate me and everyone else!
I'm really curious to see what 2020's final numbers are from the CDC in terms of deaths by month. I tried to do some digging, but as of right now we only have Jan-Mar available.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/provisional-tables.htm
On the top-right of the page, there's a dropdown menu labeled "Display by Year".
For 2020, so far we have the following recorded:
- January - 263,000 deaths
- February - 243,000 deaths
- March - 268,000 deaths
Now, here are the numbers from 2019:
- January - 258,000 deaths (5,000 fewer than 2020)
- February - 233,000 deaths (10,000 fewer than 2020)
- March - 255,000 deaths (13,000 fewer than 2020)
These numbers seem to indicate an increase in deaths, first by 5k, then 10k, then 13k. But what about adjusting for population growth? I wish a true statistician would look at these figures, but here's the best I can do.
Population growth in the United States from 2019 to 2029 is 0.59%, however I'm not entirely sure if it's mathematically sound to multiple the 2019 deaths by 1.059 to arrive at a 2020-adjusted figure. If it is correct, then those 2020-adjusted numbers are as follows:
- January 2019 - 273,222 deaths
- February 2019 - 256,747 deaths
- March 2019 - 270,045 deaths
Anybody with more experience/knowledge in this area, please feel free to chime in to educate me and everyone else!