Methodology:

In 2016, Hillary's Election Day morning polls averaged 7% inflation in her support.

On the assumption that this inflation is very likely to be even worse for Quid Pro Joe, I slashed 7% support from his totals, gave 6% to Trump, and threw away the odd 1%.

I also took the undecided totals and gave those to Trump.

My baseline polls were taken from Dave Leip's Atlas of Presidential Elections, which takes an average of the 3 most recent polls in each state. It reflects the current publicly available suppression polls.

Needless to say, this method produced some surprising results. Is it too optimistic? What factors did I fail to consider? I'm eager to hear criticism of all kinds. Except the faggoty kind, obviously.

Methodology:

In 2016, Hillary's Election Day morning polls averaged 7% inflation in her support.

On the assumption that this inflation is very likely to be even worse for Quid Pro Joe, I slashed 7% support from his totals, gave 6% to Trump, and threw away the odd 1%.

I also took the undecided totals and gave those to Trump also.

My baseline polls were taken from Dave Leip's Atlas of Presidential Elections, which takes an average of the 3 most recent polls in each state. It reflects the current publicly available suppression polls.

Needless to say, this method produced some surprising results. Is it too optimistic? What factors did I fail to consider? I'm eager to hear criticism of all kinds. Except the faggoty kind, obviously.