You have to accept their parameters to accept the odds. If I told you that a coin actually has 10 sides, then the chance flipping it is no longer 50/50 is it? If you accept that all the ballots are legitimate, the voting software is not compromised, and that they don't flagrantly disregard security measures in counting then he's probably right.
It's funny how the people scamming you always tell you it's not a scam. At my car lot we have a 100 point inspection checklist, that way you know you're getting a good car. No you don't get to see my checklist, and no I'm not quantifying what "good" is. But I'm telling you I have a system, and by my system it's good! Are you going to buy a car from me?
You have to accept their parameters to accept the odds. If I told you that a coin actually has 10 sides, then the chance flipping it is no longer 50/50 is it? If you accept that all the ballots are legitimate, the voting software is not compromised, and that they don't flagrantly disregard security measures in counting then he's probably right.
It's funny how the people scamming you always tell you it's not a scam.